It is really not too hard to figure out Donald Trump. The man is having
fun. What we have witnessed so far is a demonstration of how a billionaire
megalomaniac and narcissist has fun: having secured a national stage, he runs
around and says whatever he pleases, even if it is blatantly obnoxious. If he
gets positive feedback he does it all the louder. If he gets negative feedback
he turns into a bully, which he also sees as fun. If his alliance with Fox
“News” doesn’t work out, maybe he will buy his own network. If the Republican
Party spurns him, he will no doubt start his own political party. He can afford
it and, again, it’s a lot of fun. By the way, while Trump is having fun many of
the rest of us don’t find him funny at all. Indeed, its a serious question
whether Mr. Trump’s good time will, in the end, encourage him to become a
dangerous demagogue.
If explaining Donald Trump isn’t all
that difficult, explaining why millions of people applaud him is more of a
challenge. And it is, after all, millions. There are roughly 219 million
Americans who are qualified to vote, but only approximately 146 million are
registered to do so. Of those registered, 29% are signed up as Republicans.
That is about 42 million people. According to a 4 August 2015 CBS poll, Trump has a favorable
rating among 24% of that number. That is about 10 million people. We can assume
that this is a low number, given it only counts presently registered
Republicans and not independents.
There is a lot of speculation over why these people like Trump. Here are
the typical reasons given:
* “Trump has found support from Republican
voters looking for a successful businessman to jumpstart an economic
renaissance.” This sort of sentiment is seconded by the opinion that, because
he is a rich businessman, he must know how to “generate jobs.” Of course, this
is an illusion. Most businesspeople operate within economic pockets and know
little about “the economy” as a whole. Many of them get rich not by creating
jobs but by eliminating them through mergers and downsizing operations.
* He is not a Washington insider, he has never
worked in Washington or been “stained by political life.” This is a very
questionable asset. Government is a bureaucratic system with well established
rules. The notion that Mr. Trump can come into such a system and
“revolutionize” it without causing chaos is fantasy.
* Trump “is a fighter” and “people want a
fighter.” He tells it like it is and has no time for “political correctness,”
of which most people are allegedly “deathly tired.” In other words, there is a
subset of the population who don’t like minority groups or their demand for
respect. They don’t like feminists and their concerns about women’s rights.
They don’t like immigrants and the notion that the government should treat them
like human beings. Trump has become their champion because he says what they
believe, which, of course, passes for an assumed truth: all of this “political
correctness” is an anti-American attack on traditional values.
That all of these Trump supporters are oblivious to the fact that they
themselves are descended from both legal and illegal immigrants (and women) who
had to fight the prejudiced sentiments of people just like them to become
accepted citizens presents an almost laughable picture. Almost, but not quite,
for their sentiments are also very scary.
The Permanently Disaffected
These sentiments are really the surface emanations of a crowd phenomenon
that has deeper meaning and persistent historical roots. In all societies, one
finds the chronically disaffected, frustrated and resentful. Their numbers may
go up or down according to economic and social circumstances, but they never go
to zero.
In the US this statistically permanent set of disaffected citizens seems
to find itself most comfortable amidst the ultra-conservative right, with its
hatred of “big” government and its resentment of just about any taxation. All
of this is melded to national chauvinism and exceptionalism. Of late this
minority has become quasi-organized in what is known as the Tea Party movement.
A Gallup poll conducted in October of 2014 suggested
that 11% of voting age Americans are “strong supporters” of the Tea Party
movement. If we use the 219 million figure given above, that comes to 24
million Americans. There is certainly an overlap here with the 10 million avid
followers of Donald Trump.
What this means is that Trump, in his narcissistic pursuit of
recognition, has tapped into a subgroup of the population that includes the
permanently dissatisfied. He can rally them and perhaps bring them together
into a bigger movement of, say, 20 to 25% of the population. But he can never
satisfy that element’s essentially nihilistic grumbling. In other words, Trump
is playing with fire and at some point he will have to wake up to just what
sort of monster he has by the tail. Then he will have a decide: is he just out
for fun or does he want to go the route of the demagogue?
The American people are not immune to
demagoguery. In fact Fox “News,” on the air 24/7, has made a lot of money
showcasing demagogues of one sort or another: Bill O’Reilly might be the most well
known of the lot. These people have had their predecessors, particularly during
the Great Depression, such as Father
Charles Coughlin, a Detroit-based Catholic priest who ended up
supporting fascist principles. His radio broadcasts had tens of millions of
listeners. And then there is Joe McCarthy, etc.
Donald Trump certainly has the qualifications to join the long list of history’s demagogues: good speech making abilities, no problem with playing fast and loose with the facts, and an affinity for the crowd, which energizes him. For him it also seems to be a lot of fun. For the rest of us it is just another aspect of living under the old curse of interesting times.
Donald Trump certainly has the qualifications to join the long list of history’s demagogues: good speech making abilities, no problem with playing fast and loose with the facts, and an affinity for the crowd, which energizes him. For him it also seems to be a lot of fun. For the rest of us it is just another aspect of living under the old curse of interesting times.
Lawrence Davidson is
professor of history at West Chester University in West Chester, PA.
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