Iconos

Iconos
Zapata

lunes, 30 de noviembre de 2015

TRES AÑOS DE FALLIDA PRESIDENCIA DE PEÑA NIETO

Este 1º de diciembre Enrique Peña Nieto cumple tres años en la presidencia de México, justo la mitad de su período.
El y su coalición gobernante se sienten muy satisfechos y a gusto con lo logrado, ya que afirman que el país “va en la dirección correcta”.
Por ejemplo, en la propaganda oficial se señala que se han creado más de 1.5 millones de empleos formales en estos tres años, pero no se señala que dichos empleos tienen ingresos menores a los 3 salarios mínimos, es decir 436 dólares mensuales (alrededor de 7000 pesos), mientras que se han perdido más de un millón de empleos con salarios superiores a los 400 dólares.
Los empleos que se crean son por lo tanto de salarios precarios, lo que propicia una demanda estancada y de ahí que la Secretaría de Hacienda presuma índices de inflación bajos, de entre 2.5 y 3% anual.
El salario mínimo en México ha perdido un 78.6% en su poder adquisitivo en los últimos 28 años; y sólo durante los dos primeros años de la administración de Peña perdió 7.24%[1].
Así también, se señala que el índice de desempleo en México es uno de los más bajos en el mundo y el más bajo dentro de los países de la Organización para la Cooperación y el Desarrollo Económico (4.6%), pero no se menciona que el 58.5% de la población económicamente activa trabaja en la economía informal.
Tanto el gobierno como los organismos empresariales insisten en que el salario no puede aumentar si no aumenta la productividad, pero da la casualidad de que por ejemplo, la productividad de la industria manufacturera en México se elevó 183.5% de 1993 al 2008, lo que sin embargo no se ha reflejado en un aumento del poder adquisitivo del salario, ya que en 1994 se tenían que laborar 12 horas con 53 minutos para adquirir la canasta alimenticia recomendable, pero para 2011 ya eran 20 horas con 57 minutos para adquirir la misma canasta; y 22 horas con 53 minutos para el año 2014. Más trabajo, más productividad, pero menos poder adquisitivo del salario, lo que quiere decir mayor concentración del ingreso en una minoría.[2]
Mientras que en el 2008 el coeficiente de Gini, que mide la concentración del ingreso en la población (0 igualdad absoluta; 1 inequidad absoluta), era en México de 0.475 y mejoró ligeramente para 2010 a 0.466;  para el 2015 el coeficiente subió a 0.503. Esto es, en 5 años, los dos últimos de Calderón y los tres que lleva Peña, se ha disparado la desigualdad en el país.[3]
Y claro, esto ha tenido su repercusión en el aumento de la pobreza que según el Consejo Nacional para la Evaluación de la Política de Desarrollo Social (CONEVAL)[4] pasó de 53.3 millones de personas en 2012 a 55.3 millones en el 2014, y habrá que esperar cuántas más se sumaron en este 2015, una vez que se den a conocer los datos de este año.
¿Y qué hacen los plutócratas mexicanos, los corruptos gobernantes y hasta la clase media alta del país con su riqueza? Pues no la invierten en México, se la llevan al exterior.
Según datos del Banco de México[5], empresarios y ciudadanos mexicanos transfirieron a cuentas en el extranjero 49.986 millones de dólares desde el 1 de diciembre de 2012 (inicio de la administración de Peña), hasta el 30 de septiembre de 2015; lo que constituye un 75% más que las transferencias registradas en el mismo periodo durante la presidencia de Felipe Calderón (los tres primeros años de 2006 a 2009). Eso es equivalente a 824,769 millones de pesos.
Y a lo anterior habría que sumarle que en el último año el déficit comercial del país se disparó un 476.6% al pasar de -2 mil ochenta y dos millones de dólares en octubre del año pasado a – 11 mil 965 millones de dólares en 2015, debido principalmente a una caída del precio del petróleo y por lo tanto una caída del ingreso en este rubro del 44%.
En general, las exportaciones cayeron el último año 7.5%, y en el caso de las petroleras cayeron en un 41.5%.
Y para compensar esa caída en los ingresos el gobierno de Peña se ha endeudado de manera peligrosa, pues la deuda pasó de representar el 43.17% del PIB en 2012 a más del 50% este año, lo que ha implicado un aumento de 7 puntos porcentuales en sólo 3 años.[6]
De acuerdo con el Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI)  en el año 2000 la deuda pública del país representaba sólo 18.31% del PIB, por lo que en 15 años ha crecido en un 611.2% durante los dos gobiernos del PAN (2000-2006 con Fox; 2006-2012 con Calderón) y los tres que van del de Peña, mientras que el aumento nominal de la economía fue de 180%.  Así, cada persona económicamente activa debe 200 mil pesos y cada habitante 70 mil pesos.[7]
Y por supuesto el crecimiento económico del país es mediocre, pues en el primer año de la gestión de Peña fue de solo 1.4%; en el 2014 fue de 2.2% y este año igualmente será de 2.2%, a pesar de lo cual los funcionarios públicos presumen de dichos “logros”.
Podríamos seguir y seguir con las cifras en materia económica y social, para demostrar que los “logros” de Peña sólo alcanzan para el 20% de la población, tal como lo señala el CONEVAL,[8] que afirma que 73.8% de la población, o sea 86.6 millones de mexicanos, presenta una o más carencias sociales (educación, salud, seguridad social, vivienda y alimentación), mientras que el 23% de los mexicanos (27 millones) tiene carencias de alimentación, lo que ubica a México dentro de los 10 países con más población en situación de hambre en el mundo; y la diferencia de los ingresos entre el 10% más rico en México y el 10% más pobre es de 29 veces, lo que convierte a México en el país más desigual entre los integrantes de la OCDE. Y si sólo se considerara al 1% más rico, la diferencia con el 10% más pobre sería de 47 veces.
Ese es el proyecto real de Peña y sus aliados políticos y económicos: más concentración del ingreso, más desigualdad, más pobreza y más injusticia.



[1] Centro de Análisis Multidisciplinario de la UNAM. http://cam.economia.unam.mx/el-salario-minimo-en-mexico-de-la-pobreza-la-miseria-perdida-del-78-66-del-poder-adquisitivo-del-salario-reporte-de-investigacion-117/
[2] Ibidem.
[3] Inegi.gob.mx
[4] Coneval.gob.mx
[5] La Jornada, “Crecen transferencias de mexicanos a cuentas bancarias en el extranjero”, domingo 29 de noviembre de 2015, p. 30.
[6] http://www.datosmacro.com/deuda/mexico
[7] http://www.elfinanciero.com.mx/opinion/hasta-cuanto-crecera-la-deuda-publica-en-mexico.html
[8] Coneval.gob.mx
The Phony War on ISIS
Downing of Russian war plane shows what side NATO is on
by Justin Raimondo, November 30, 2015
Antiwar.com

The downing of a Russian warplane by the Turks raises several questions, which can all be rolled into one big one: In the war against ISIS, which side is Turkey – and NATO – on, anyway?
Now let’s list the subordinate issues that cause us to question what’s really going on in Syria:
·         How can the Turks claim they didn’t know it was a Russian plane they were shooting down?
·         If the incident was an error on Turkey’s part, why are they refusing to apologize?
·         Even if we accept the Turkish version of events – that the Russian plane drifted into Turkish airspace for a grand total of nineteen seconds – how does this justify their action?
·         Did the Turks act alone, or did they get the green light from NATO?
·         Are the Turks buying oil from ISIS?

To begin with, the very idea that the whole thing was a big mistake, and that the Turks didn’t know it was a Russian pilot flying that plane, is too ridiculous to take seriously. For the Turks to make such a claim should cause us to automatically disregard whatever else they say about this incident. Putin claims the plane was clearly marked, but even if that’s not quite the truth – and it may not be – the Russians agreed tocoordinate the flight paths of their war planes with the Americans, so as not to create just such as incident as this one. As Putin put it:
“The American side, which leads the coalition that Turkey belongs to, knew about the location and time of our planes’ flights, and we were hit exactly there and at that time. Why did we pass this information to the Americans? Either they were not controlling what their allies were doing, or they are leaking this information all over the place.”
And it just so happens that the former Vice Chairman of the Joints Chiefs of Staff, Admiral James Winnefeld, was paying a visit to Ankara when the Russian plane went down. A coincidence, of course….
In short: the Americans had the exact flight path of the Russian plane. They knew where and when it would be flying: are we supposed to believe they didn’t communicate this to the Turks, their NATO allies? That this was an orchestrated event – orchestrated by Washington – seems almost beyond dispute.
This is why the Turks refuse to apologize, and instead warn the Russians that they are “playing with fire.” They were simply following orders – and that those orders were coming from Washington is implied by President Obama’s defense of the Turkish actions. “Turkey,” he declared, “like every country, has a right to defend its territory and airspace.” While this is certainly true, the question of how it may do so and under what circumstances it’s okay to shoot down a plane that may have intruded on its airspace is not quite as cut-and-dried as he would have us believe.
Article 51 of the United Nations charter says military action against an intruder is justified only in case of an “armed attack.” Yet the Turks are claiming no such thing: therefore, the act of shooting down the Russian plane was clearly a violation of international law. Period.
While NATO’s commander is standing “in solidarity” with Ankara, the Turks violated NATO’s own rules of engagement. Article 5 of the NATO treaty limns the UN Charter, triggering military action as a consequence of an “armed attack.”
Furthermore, there is the question of the machine-gunning of the ejected Russian pilots by the US-supported “Free Syrian Army,” which resulted in the death of one of them. As retired Maj. Gen. Charles J. Dunlap, Jr., puts it:
“It is extraordinarily well-settled that the law of war prohibits making anyone parachuting from a distressed aircraft the object of attack, and that doing so is awar crime. There is no real dispute among experts as to this reading of the law.”
Not that this would be the first war crime the Turks have committed.
Finally, there is the question at the base of all this: in the war against ISIS, which side are the Turks on, anyway?
The main enemy of the Turks in Syria isn’t ISIS, but the Kurds. Turkish forces have been attacking Kurdish positions and leaving the Islamic State alone.
The Turks have been facilitating the growth of the jihadist movement – including ISIS, as well as al-Qaeda – from the very beginning. As Joe Biden told a Harvard audience last year:
“They poured hundreds of millions of dollars and thousands of tons of weapons into anyone who would fight against Assad. Except that the people who were being supplied were al-Nusra and al-Qaeda and the extremist elements of jihadis coming from other parts of the world. We could not convince our colleagues to stop supplying them,"President [Recep Tayyip] Erdogan told me, he’s an old friend, said, ‘You were right. We let too many people (including foreign fighters) through.’ Now they are trying to seal their border."
But it looks like they aren’t trying very hard. According to a former ISIS fighter, the Turks are allowing ISIS transit through Turkish territory in order to attack the Kurds:
"’ISIS commanders told us to fear nothing at all because there was full cooperation with the Turks,’ said Omer of crossing the border into Turkey, ‘and they reassured us that nothing will happen, especially when that is how they regularly travel from Raqqa and Aleppo to the Kurdish areas further northeast of Syria because it was impossible to travel through Syria as YPG [National Army of Syrian Kurdistan] controlled most parts of the Kurdish region.’"
The Turkish media has exposed Turkish Prime Minister Recep Erdogan’s gun-running activities, which supply ISIS with Turkish weapons and ammunition. As the Associated Press reports:
“In May, the Cumhuriyet paper published what it said were images of Turkish trucks carrying ammunition to Syrian militants. The images reportedly date back to January 2014, when local authorities searched Syria-bound trucks, touching off a standoff with Turkish intelligence officials. Cumhuriyet said the images were proof that Turkey was smuggling arms to rebels in Syria.”
The editors of Cumhuriyet have been arrested and held for questioning, just likedozens of journalists who have crossed paths with Turkish Prime Erdogan’s increasingly authoritarian regime.
Erdogan’s Islamic Development Party (AKP) is intent on reversing Turkey’s secularist path, and instituting Islamic law: ideologically, the Islamist AKP is sympathetic to ISIS, its goals if not its exact methods.
And it isn’t just ideology that links Erdogan and ISIS: money is also a factor – a big factor. Putin laid out the charge in a press conference in which he said:
“Vehicles, carrying oil, lined up in a chain going beyond the horizon resembling a living oil pipe. Day and night they are going to Turkey. Trucks always go there loaded, and back from there – empty. We assume that the top political leadership of Turkey might not know anything about this [illegal oil trade]. Hard to believe, but it is theoretically possible.”
Methinks I detect a bit of sarcasm in that last sentence: of course Erdogan knows about the oil trade with ISIS. There are reports that his son is directly involved.
The West’s war on ISIS is completely phony. Our efforts, and those of our ally, Turkey, aim at overthrowing Syria strongman Bashar al-Assad – a goal we share with ISIS as well as our subsidized “moderate” rebel sock puppets. With Russia’s entry into the fight, the phoniness of the anti-ISIS campaign is underscored: Washington is clearly much more interested in countering the Russians than in undermining ISIS.

The “war on terrorism” was never about stopping terrorism: it was always about securing US global hegemony and crushing dissent on the home front. The Syrian civil war has proved that beyond the shadow of a doubt.

viernes, 27 de noviembre de 2015

Directores de Pemex y CFE habrían intervenido para otorgar obra a OHL
Israel Rodríguez

Periódico La Jornada
Viernes 27 de noviembre de 2015, p. 31
Dos audios filtrados y difundidos en Internet exponen la presunta intervención de los directores generales de Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex) y de la Comisión Federal de Electricidad (CFE), Emilio Lozoya y Enrique Ochoa, respectivamente, a favor de OHL México en la adjudicación de un contrato millonario para la construcción de la Central de Ciclo Combinado Empalme 1, con un resultado favorable a la filial mexicana de la constructora española.
Estas grabaciones se dan a conocer tan sólo a tres días de que el director de CFE, Enrique Ochoa Reza, presente su libro titulado Para entender la reforma eléctrica en la Feria Internacional del Libro (FIL), en Guadalajara, Jalisco.
Las grabaciones difundidas en YouTube como en otras ocasiones en las que se exhibe la presunta complicidad de funcionarios de diferentes órdenes de gobierno aparentemente corresponden al 31 de marzo, fecha en que coincidentemente se dio a conocer el fallo de la licitación para la construcción de la referida central, en la que OHL presentó una propuesta ganadora por 476 millones de dólares con la que resultó técnicamente solvente y alcanzó el puntaje más alto, con 99.6565 puntos de 100 posibles, resultado de la valoración técnica y económica.
En las grabaciones difundidas se escucha una doble conversación sostenida el pasado 31 de marzo entre el presidente de OHL México, José Andrés de Oteyza, y el director técnico de OHL México, Jesús Campos.
José Andrés de Oteyza dice: “Esto lo arreglé yo en gran medida el jueves en la noche con (Emilio) Lozoya, y el viernes hablé directamente con (Enrique) Ochoa. Directamente porque me lo arregló Emilio […] O sea le pedí a Emilio, se lo expliqué, Emilio habló y luego hablé yo directamente con Ochoa. Entonces ya sabía yo que estaba… bueno hasta el último siempre se puede caer […] se puede caer, pero teníamos una gran, pero una enorme posibilidad de ganar […] si no, nos mata Iberdrola. Iberdrola en este terreno es un competidor muy peligroso”.
Se hizo una gran labor entre jueves y viernes, dice Oteyza a Campos, según la grabación filtrada, mientras le explica que el tema ya no era técnico, sino de otra índole y lo peleamos muy bien.
Se portó muy bien eh, el primero que te dije, bueno, no se puede portar mejor, es un señorón, y además a mí de veras no sabes cómo me quiere y qué buena relación tenemos; pero me echó una mano brutal con el otro y el otro también estuvo particularmente caballeroso y bien pero muy bien .
El presidente de la filial de la empresa española en México señala que tenían una alta posibilidad de ganar, pero admite que Iberdrola era una fuerte competencia y con una buena propuesta. El presidente de Iberdrola, que se llama (José Ignacio) Sánchez Galán, es un tipo tremendo.
Estas nuevas grabaciones se suman a una serie de filtraciones difundidas desde el pasado 6 de mayo, cuando OHL fue involucrada en un aparente fraude para el cobro de las tarifas del Viaducto Bicentenario, en el estado de México.
Además, la Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores (CNBV) inició un procedimiento en contra de la filial de la española OHL y ésta recurrió a un amparo.
Ayer por la tarde, Pemex rechazó las acusaciones y aseguró que el director general de Pemex nunca ha abordado ni gestionado temas de licitaciones públicas con funcionarios de OHL o de otras empresas y mucho menos en asuntos que no son de su competencia, como los contratos de la CFE.
“Sin pronunciarnos sobre la veracidad de las grabaciones, deploramos el uso del nombre del director general de Pemex para abonar a intereses personales que desconocemos. El señor De Oteyza ha hecho gala de supuestas reuniones o intervenciones a favor de la empresa OHL que jamás ocurrieron.
Por su parte, la CFE aseveró: “Es absolutamente falso que el director general de CFE, Enrique Ochoa Reza, se haya reunido el viernes 27 de marzo de 2015 con José Andrés de Oteyza.
“También es totalmente falso que la licitación para el proyecto Central de Ciclo Combinado Empalme I haya estado ‘arreglada’”.
Dicha licitación, dijo, fue supervisada por Transparencia Mexicana como testigo social en un proceso transparente y competitivo.

OHL impuso a director de Pemex para operar “'red de corrupción', acusa Morena
Por Enrique Méndez y Roberto Garduño
sáb, 12 sep 2015 
México, DF. El partido Morena en la Cámara de Diputados expuso que la empresa trasnacional OHL impuso en la dirección general de Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex) a Emilio Lozoya Austin y en la dirección corporativa de Procura y Abastecimiento a Arturo Henríquez Autrey, con objeto “de operar una vasta red de corrupción en la paraestatal, que había iniciado con el respaldo de los gobiernos panistas de Vicente Fox y Felipe Calderón a Oceanografía de Amado Yáñez”.
Rocío Nahle, coordinadora del grupo parlamentario en San Lázaro, insistió en el urgente despido de Lozoya Austin y de Heríquez Autrey, quienes fungieron como consejeros de OHL antes de ingresar a la paraestatal, y posteriormente operaron la caída de Amado Yáñez –propietario de Oceanografía junto a los hijos de Marta Sahagún– con objeto de hacer de OHL la empresa que sustituyera a Oceanografía. “Al día de hoy OHL goza de contratos que suman 60 mil millones de pesos de parte del gobierno federal y de los estados, sin contar los firmados con Pemex”, puntualizó la legisladora.
El jueves pasado, en tribuna, la diputada federal presentó un punto de acuerdo para solicitar la renuncia del director de Pemex, Emilio Lozoya, y del secretario de Comunicaciones, Gerardo Ruíz Esparza, “por el posible conflicto de interés, tráfico de influencias y actos de corrupción en el otorgamiento de concesiones, contratos y proyectos a la empresa OHL-México”.
En el caso de Petróleos Mexicanos, apuntó la denuncia de la diputada de Morena a su titular Emilio Lozoya, que “en Pemex ha formado el clan de Alí Babá y los cuarenta ladrones. Lozoya tiene que renunciar y solicitamos a la Auditoría Superior de la Federación (ASF) que lo investigue para fincarle responsabilidades”.
Al comentar una fotografía que causó revuelo en las redes sociales, fechada en el mes de octubre del año 2013, donde aparece Arturo Henríquez Autrey, director corporativo de Procura y Abastecimiento de Pemex, con Amado Yáñez, departiendo en una casa de Los Cabos, Baja California, Rocío Nahle confirmó que el funcionario fue consejero de OHL, antes de ingresar a Pemex, “impuesto” por esa trasnacional.
En entrevista la coordinadora de Morena refirió endureciendo el tono, “no tienen idea, yo los conozco. Amado Yáñez fue una invención de los panistas. Oceanografía fue una de esas empresas que a la llegada de Vicente Fox a la Presidencia estaba olvidada. Ahí intervinieron los hijos de Marta Sahagún, la rescatan con la ayuda de su padrastro (Vicente Fox) y jalan a un tipo de lo más corrupto que es Amado Yáñez”.
Durante el foxismo, continúo revelando la legisladora, se otorgaron contratos millonarios a Oceanografía. Se desmantelaron 250 equipos de exploración y explotación que tenía Pemex y se los vendieron como chatarra a esa empresa, que los reusó, así como decenas de barcos que supuestamente se encontraban inservibles. Así, Amado Yáñez y los hijos de Marta Sahagún construyeron un emporio que los hacía vivir “como jeques árabes”, repuso la diputada.
Una vez que surgió el escándalo de Oceanografía, “y el gobierno no pudo, y no supo pararlo, entró en sustitución de ésta, OHL, impulsada por sus alfiles Emilio Lozoya y Arturo Henríquez Autrey, quienes han recurrido a la corrupción como método de enriquecimiento”.
A partir de la caída de Oceanografía, OHL entró al quite, repuso Rocío Nahle, y ahora con sus protegidos ha conseguido colocarse en el ámbito de la proveduría al gobierno federal y a las administraciones estatales.
“En fechas recientes, OHL México se ha visto inmerso en una serie de escándalos originados por la difusión de conversaciones telefónicas, que presumen actos de corrupción y conflictos de interés, protagonizados por Emilio Lozoya Austin, Enrique Ochoa Reza, director general de la CFE, y Gerardo Ruiz Esparza, secretario de Comunicaciones y Transportes”.
Al considerar que los funcionarios citados han incurrido en actos de corrupción y conflicto de interés, “es indispensable que el gobierno mexicano informe y esclarezca las diferentes denuncias y actos de corrupción, no puede ser posible que personal que ha sido miembro de un consejo de administración de empresas beneficiadas (por contratos multimillonarios), ahora tengan bajo su responsabilidad empresas productivas del estado”.

Para documentar, recordó que hasta el ingreso de Emilio Lozoya Austin, y Arturo Henríquez Autrey, OHL no había ganado licitación alguna con Pemex. Fue hasta marzo del año 2013, tres meses después de asumir el cargo, cuando Pemex otorgó el primer contrato a OHL por mil 016 millones de pesos, “lo que genera graves indicios de un posible conflicto de interés”.

martes, 24 de noviembre de 2015

PROVOCACIÓN A RUSIA

Hace unas horas un avión de combate turco F16S derribó a un bombardero ruso SU-24, sobre la frontera sirio-turca (los turcos dicen que se le advirtió que había invadido espacio aéreo turco y no hizo caso; los rusos afirman que estaba dentro de Siria e incluso cayó 4 kilómetros dentro de territorio sirio); si bien los dos pilotos rusos pudieron eyectarse, uno de ellos fue asesinado por rebeldes sirios (han subido ya un video), mientras se desconoce el paradero del otro piloto.
El presidente Putin ha calificado la acción como "una puñalada en la espalda" de Rusia y manifestó que tendrá serias consecuencias en las relaciones con Turquía. Mientras tanto el gobierno turco ha convocado a una reunión de la OTAN para analizar el hecho, a lo que Putin respondió señalando "¿Se quiere poner a la OTAN al servicio del Estado Islámico?".
Si bien aún es temprano para saber qué sucedió realmente y hasta donde afectará este hecho toda la situación en Siria, se pueden hacer algunas consideraciones preliminares:
1. El presidente Erdogan ya había amenazado desde octubre pasado a Moscú que no permitiría que aviones rusos violaran el espacio aéreo turco, cuando un avión caza ruso invadió brevemente el mismo en esas fechas.
2. De ahí que el evento de hoy no se pueda considerar "un error" o una "sobrerreacción" turca, sino el resultado de una política ya anunciada y establecida firmemente por el gobierno de Erdogan.
3. Erdogan no ha escondido su enojo por el involucramiento de Rusia en el conflicto sirio a través de los bombardeos de su fuerza aérea, tanto a miembros del Estado Islámico como a los otros grupos que combaten al régimen de Assad. De hecho la zona en donde fue derribado el SU-24 es una zona rebelde, que muy probablemente recibe el apoyo de Turquía, de ahí que el gobierno turco estuviera esperando la oportunidad para "enviarle un mensaje" a Putin de que ya no toleraría más bombardeos en contra de los grupos a los que apoyan los turcos.
4. Así también, Erdogan se ha manifestado contrariado por los acercamientos de Rusia con los kurdos para combatir al Estado Islámico, ya que el gobierno turco ha intensificado sus ataques a los kurdos, a quienes considera una amenaza mucho mayor que los yihadistas islámicos.
5. El llamar a una reunión de la OTAN es querer implicar a la alianza atlántica directamente en el conflicto, pero enfrentada principalmente con Rusia (de ahí la afirmación de Putin sobre que la OTAN podría acabar apoyando al Estado Islámico), ya que para Turquía, Israel, Arabia, las petromonarquías del Golfo y los neoconservadores de Washington, el objetivo principal no es derrotar al Estado Islámico, sino derribar a Assad, y en ese objetivo se interpone Rusia, por lo que todo tipo de acción que implique aislar a Rusia y evitar que se coordine con otros países occidentales (Francia por ej, a raíz de loa atentados en Paris), va en favor de los intereses de estos actores.

¿Qué acciones puede realizar Putin? Por principio de cuentas podría enviar aviones caza para escoltar a los bombarderos, lo que implicaría que un encuentro con la aviación turca llevaría a un enfrentamiento directo. O, "por error" la aviación rusa podría bombardear a posiciones del ejército turco, lo que sin duda escalaría el conflicto. Si desde el punto de vista militar Putin no desea escalar el conflicto, bien puede congelar la serie de acuerdos económicos que recientemente firmó con Turquía (específicamente la construcción de un gasoducto), pero ello también afectaría duramente a Rusia en momentos en que siguen en pie las sanciones económicas de Occidente contra Moscú.
Por supuesto, los neoconservadores y "halcones" de Washington van a aprovechar esta situación para intentar alejar a Rusia de Occidente. Habrá que ver si Obama, Hollande y Cameron deciden utilizar este hecho para apoyar a Erdogan y con ello intensificar la crisis en Siria, pues se podría romper el diálogo político para resolver la misma; o toman una posición más racional y tratan de evitar un escalamiento del conflicto con Rusia.

lunes, 23 de noviembre de 2015

WARS: US MILITARIST FACTIONS IN COMMAND
THE JAMES PETRAS WEBSITE
11/19/2015

Introduction: Over the past 15 years the US has been engaged in a series of wars, which has led many writers to refer to the ‘rise of militarism’ – the growth of an empire, built primarily by and for the projection of military power – and only secondarily to advance economic imperialism.
The rise of a military-based empire, however, does not preclude the emergence of competing, conflicting and convergent power configurations within the imperial state. These factions of the Washington elite define the objectives and targets of imperial warfare, often on their own terms.
Having stated the obvious general fact of the power of militarism within the imperial state, it is necessary to recognize that the key policy-makers, who direct the wars and military policy, will vary according to the country targeted, type of warfare engaged in and their conception of the war. In other words, while US policy is imperialist and highly militaristic, the key policymakers, their approach and the outcomes of their policies will differ. There is no fixed strategy devised by a cohesive Washington policy elite guided by a unified strategic vision of the US Empire.
In order to understand the current, seemingly endless wars, we have to examine the shifting coalitions of elites, who make decisions in Washington but not always primarily for Washington. Some factions of the policy elite have clear conceptions of the American empire, but others improvise and rely on superior ‘political’ or ‘lobbying’ power to successfully push their agenda in the face of repeated failures and suffer no consequences or costs.
We will start by listing US imperial wars during the last decade and a half. We will then identify the main policy-making faction which has been the driving force in each war. We will discuss their successes and failures as imperial policy makers and conclude with an evaluation of “the state of the empire” and its future.
Imperial Wars: From 2001 – 2015
The current war cycle started in late 2001 with the US invasion and occupation of Afghanistan. This was followed by the invasion and occupation of Iraq in March 2003, the US arms support for Israel’s invasion of Lebanon in 2006, the proxy invasion of Somalia in 2006/7; the massive re-escalation of war in Iraq and Afghanistan in 2007 – 2009; the bombing, invasion ‘regime change’ in Libya in 2011; the ongoing proxy-mercenary war against Syria (since 2012), and the ongoing 2015 Saudi-US invasion and destruction of Yemen. In Europe, the US was behind the 2014 proxy putsch and violent ‘regime change’ in Ukraine which has led to an ongoing war against ethnic Russian speakers in south-east Ukraine, especially the populous industrial heartland of the Donbas region.
Over the past 15 years, there have been overt and covert military interventions, accompanied by an intense, provocative military build-up along Russia’s borders in the Baltic States, Eastern Europe (especially Poland), the Balkans (Bulgaria and Romania) and the mammoth US base in Kosovo; in Central Europe with nuclear missiles in Germany and, of course, the annexation of Ukraine and Georgia as US-NATO clients.
Parallel to the military provocations encircling Russia, Washington has launched a major military, political, economic and diplomatic offensive aimed at isolating China and affirming US supremacy in the Pacific.
In South American, US military intervention found expression via Washington-orchestrated business-military coup attempts in Venezuela in 2002 and Bolivia in 2008, and a successful ‘regime change’ in Honduras in 2009, overthrowing its elected president and installing a US puppet.
In summary, the US has been engaged in two, three or more wars since 2001, defining an almost exclusively militarist empire, run by an imperial state directed by civilian and military officials seeking unchallenged global dominance through violence.
Washington: Military Workshop of the World
War and violent regime change are the exclusive means through which the US now advances its foreign policy. However, the various Washington war-makers among the power elite do not form a unified bloc with common priorities. Washington provides the weapons, soldiers and financing for whichever power configuration or faction among the elite is in a position, by design or default, to seize the initiative and push their own war agenda.
The invasion of Afghanistan was significant in so far as it was seen by all sectors of the militarist elite, as the first in a series of wars. Afghanistan was to set the stage for the launching of higher priority wars elsewhere.
Afghanistan was followed by the infamous ‘Axis of Evil’ speech, dictated by Tel Aviv, penned by presidential speech-writer, David Fromm and mouthed by the brainless President Bush, II. The ‘Global War on Terror’ was the thinly veiled slogan for serial wars around the world. Washington measured the loyalty of its vassals among the nations of Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America by their support for the invasion and occupation of Afghanistan. The Afghan invasion provided the template for future wars. It led to an unprecedented increase in the military budget and ushered in ‘Caesar’-like dictatorial presidential powers to order and execute wars, silencing domestic critics and sending scored of thousands of US and NATO troops to the ‘Hindu Kush’.
In itself, Afghanistan was never any threat and certainly no economic prize for plunder and profit. The Taliban had not attacked the US. Osama Bin Laden could have been turned over to a judicial tribunal – as the governing Taliban had insisted.
The US military (with its ‘Coalition of the Willing’ or COW) successfully invaded and occupied Afghanistan and set up a vassal regime in Kabul. It built scores of military bases and attempted to form an obedient colonial army. In the meantime, the Washington militarist elite had moved on to bigger and, for the Israel-centric Zionist elite, higher priority wars, namely Iraq.
The decision to invade Afghanistan was not opposed by any of Washington’s militarist elite factions. They all shared the idea of using a successful military blitz or ‘cake-walk’ against the abysmally impoverished Afghanistan as a way to rabble rouse the American masses into accepting a long period of intense and costly global warfare throughout the world.
Washington’s militarist elites fabricated the link between the attacks on 9/11/2001 and Afghanistan’s governing Taliban and the presence of the Saudi warlord Osama Bin Laden. Despite the ‘fact’ that most of the ‘hijackers’ were from the kingdom of Saudi Arabia and none were Afghans, invading and destroying Afghanistan was to be the initial test to gauge the highly manipulated and frightened American public’s willingness to shoulder the burden of a huge new cycle of imperial wars. This has been the only aspect of the invasion of Afghanistan that could be viewed as a policy success – it made the costs of endless wars ‘acceptable’ to a relentlessly propagandized public.
Flush with their military victories in the Hindu Kush, the Washington militarists turned to Iraq and fabricated a series of increasingly preposterous pretexts for war: Linking the 9/11 ‘jihadi’ hijackers with the secular regime of Saddam Hussein, whose intolerance for violent Islamists (especially the Saudi variety) was well documented, and concocting a whole fabric of lies about Iraqi ‘weapons of mass destruction’ which provided the propaganda basis for invading an already disarmed, blockaded and starved Iraq in March 2003.
Leading the Washington militarists in designing the war to destroy Iraq were the Zionists, including Paul Wolfowitz, Elliot Abrams, Richard Perle, and a few Israel-centric Gentile militarists, such as Vice President Cheney, Secretary of State Colin Powell and Defense Secretary Rumsfeld. The Zionists had a powerful entourage in key positions in the State Department, Treasury and the Pentagon.
There were ‘outsiders’ – non-Zionists and militarists within these institutions, especially the Pentagon, who voiced reservations - but they were brushed aside, not consulted and ‘encouraged’ to retire.
None of the ‘old hands’ in the State Department or Pentagon bought into the hysteria about Sadaam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction, but to voice reservations was to risk one’s career. The manufacture and dissemination of the pretext for invading Iraq was orchestrated by a small team of operatives linking Tel Aviv and Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz’s “Office of Special Plans”, a tight group of Zionists and some Israelis headed by Abram Shulsky (Sept. 2002 – June 2003).
The US war on Iraq was an important part of Israel’s agenda to ‘re-make the Middle East’ to establish its unchallenged regional hegemony and execute a ‘final solution’ for its own vexing ‘Arab (native Palestinian) problem’: It was made operational by the powerful Zionist faction within the Executive (White House), which had assumed almost dictatorial powers after the attack on 9/11/2001. Zionists planned the war, designed the ‘occupation policy’ and ‘succeeded wildly’ with the eventual dismemberment of a once modern secular nationalist Arab state.
In order to smash the Iraqi state – the US occupation policy was to eliminate (through mass firings, jailing and assassination) all high level, experienced Iraqi civil, military and scientific personnel – down to high school principals. They dismantled any vital infrastructure (which had not been already destroyed by the decades of US sanctions and bombing under President Clinton) and reduced an agriculturally advanced Iraq to a barren wasteland which would take centuries to recover and could never challenge Israel’s colonization of Palestine, let alone its military supremacy in the Middle East. Naturally, the large Palestinian Diaspora refugee population in Iraq was targeted for ‘special treatment’.
But Zionist policymakers had a much larger agenda than erasing Iraq as a viable country: They had a longer list of targets: Syria, Iran, Lebanon and Libya, whose destructions were to be carried out with US and NATO blood and treasure (and not a single Israeli soldier).
Despite the fact that Iraq did not even possess a functioning air force or navy in March 2003 and Afghanistan in late 2001 was rather primitive, the invasions of both countries turned out to be very costly to the US. The US completely failed to benefit from its ‘victory and occupation’, despite Paul Wolfowitz’ boasts that the pillage of Iraq’s oil fields would pay for the entire project in a ‘few months’. This was because the real Zionist plan was to destroy these nations – beyond any possibility for a quick or cheap imperialist economic gain. Scorching the earth and salting the fields is not a very profitable policy for empire builders.
Israel has been the biggest winner with no cost for the ‘Jewish State’. The American Zionist policy elite literally handed them the services of the largest and richest armed forces in history: the US. ‘Israel-Firsters’ played a decisive role among Washington policy-makers and Tel Aviv celebrated in the streets! They came, they dominated policy and they accomplished their mission: Iraq (and millions of its people)was destroyed.
The US gained an unreliable, broken colony, with a devastated economy and systematically destroyed infrastructure and without the functioning civil service needed for a modern state. To pay for the mess, the American people faced a spiraling budget deficit, tens of thousands of American war casualties and massive cuts in their own social programs. Crowning the Washington war-makers’ victory was the disarticulation of American civil and constitutional rights and liberties and the construction of a enormous domestic police state.
After the Iraq disaster, the same influential Zionist faction in Washington lost no time in demanding a new war against Israel’s bigger enemy – namely Iran. In the ensuing years, they failed to push the US to attack Teheran but they succeeded in imposing crippling sanctions on Iran. The Zionist faction secured massive US military support for Israel’s abortive invasion of Lebanon and its devastating series of blitzkriegs against the impoverished and trapped people of Gaza.
The Zionist faction successfully shaped US military interventions to meet Israel’s regional ambitions against three Arab countries: Yemen, Syria and Libya.. The Zionists were not able to manipulate the US into attacking Iran because the traditional militarist faction in Washington balked: With instability in Afghanistan and Iraq, the US was not well positioned to face a major conflagration throughout the Middle East, South Asia and beyond – which a ground and air war with Iran would involve. However, the Zionist factions did secure brutal economic sanctions and the appointment of key Israel-Centric officials within the US Treasury. Secretary Stuart Levey, at the start of the Obama regime, and David Cohen afterwards, were positioned to enforce the sanctions.
Even before the ascendency of Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, Tel Aviv’s military objectives after Iraq, including Iran, Syria, Lebanon, Libya and Yemen had to be spaced over time, because the non-Zionist factions among Washington’s elite had been unable to integrate occupied Afghanistan and Iraq into the empire.
Resistance, armed conflict and military advances in both Afghanistan and Iraq never ceased and are continuing into their 2nd decade. As soon as the US would withdraw from a region, declaring it ‘pacified’, the armed resistance would move back in and the local sepoys would defect to the rebels or take off for London or Washington with millions in pillaged loot.
‘Unfinished wars’, mounting casualties and spiraling costs, with no end in sight, undermined the agreement between the militarist and the Zionist factions in the Executive branch. However, the massively powerful Zionist presence in the US Congress provided a platform to bray for new and even bigger wars.
Israel’s vicious invasion of Lebanon in 2006 was defeated despite receiving massive US arms supplies, a US funded ‘Iron Dome’ missile defense system and intelligence assistance. Tel Aviv could not defeat the highly disciplined and motivated Hezbollah fighters in South Lebanon despite resorting to carpet bombing of civilian neighborhoods with millions of banned cluster munitions and picking off ambulances and churches sheltering refugees. Israelis have been much more triumphal murdering lightly armed Palestinian resistance fighters and stone-throwing children.
Libya: A Multi-faction War for the Militarists (without Big Oil)
The war against Libya was a result of multiple factions among the Washington militarist elite, including the Zionists, coming together with French, English and German militarists to smash the most modern, secular, independent state in Africa under President Muammar Gaddafi.
The aerial campaign against the Gaddafi regime had virtually no organized support within Libya with which to reconstruct a viable neo-colonial state ripe for pillage. This was another ‘planned dismemberment’ of a complex, modern republic which had been independent of the US Empire.
The war succeeded wildly in shredding Libya’s economy, state and society. It unleashed scores of armed terrorist groups,( who appropriated the modern weapons of Gaddafi’s army and police) and uprooted two million black contract workers and Libyan citizens of South Saharan origin forcing them to flee the rampaging racist militias to the refugee camps of Europe. Untold thousands died in rickety boats in the Mediterranean Sea.
The entire war was carried out to the publicly giddy delight of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her ‘humanitarian interventionist’ lieutenants (Susan Rice and Samantha Power), who were utterly ignorant as to who and what the Libyan “opposition” represented. Eventually, even Hillary’s own Ambassador to Libya would be slaughtered by . . . the same victorious US-backed ‘rebels’ (sic) in the newly liberated Bengasi!
The Zionist faction destroyed Gaddafi (whose capture, grotesque torture and murder was filmed and widely disseminated), eliminating another real adversary of Israel and supporter of Palestinian rights. The US militarist faction, which led the war, got nothing positive – not even a secure naval, air or training base – only a dead Ambassador, millions of desperate refugees flooding Europe and thousands of trained and armed jihadists for the next target: Syria.
For a while Libya became the main supply-line for Islamist mercenaries and arms to invade Syria and fight the secular nationalist government in Damascus.
Once again the least influential faction in Washington turned out to be the oil and gas industry, which lost lucrative contracts it had already signed with the Gaddafi regime. Thousands of highly trained foreign oil workers were withdrawn. After Iraq, it should have been obvious that these wars were not ‘for oil’!
Ukraine: Coups, Wars and Russia’s ‘Underbelly’
With the US-orchestrated coup and intervention in Ukraine, the militarist factions once again seized the initiative, establishing a puppet regime in Kiev and targeting Russia’s strategic ‘soft underbelly’. The plan had been to take over Russia’s strategic military bases in Crimea and cut Russia from the vital military-industrial complexes in the Donbas region with its vast iron and coal reserves.
The mechanics of the power grab were relatively well planned, the political clients were put in power, but the US militarists had made no contingencies for propping up the Ukrainian economy, cut loose from its main trading partner and oil and gas supplier, Russia.
The coup led to a ‘proxy war’ in the ethnic-Russian majority regions in the south east (the Donbas) with four ‘unanticipated consequences’. 1) a country divided east and west along ethno-linguistic lines, (2) a bankrupt economy made even worse by the imposition of an IMF austerity program, (3) a corrupt crony capitalist elite, which was ‘pro-West by bank account’, (4) and, after two years, mass disaffection among voters toward the US puppet regime.
The militarists in Washington and Brussels succeeded in engineering the coup in Ukraine but lacked the domestic allies, plans and preparations to run the country and successfully annex it to the EU and NATO as a viable country.
Apparently the militarist factions in the State Department and Pentagon are much more proficient in stage managing coups and invasions than in establishing a stable regime as part of a New World Order. They succeed in the former and fail repeatedly in the latter.
The Pivot to Asia and the Pirouette to Syria
During most of the previous decade, traditional global strategists in Washington increasingly objected to the Zionist faction’s domination and direction of US war policies focused on the Middle East for the benefit of Israel, instead of meeting the growing challenge of the new world economic superpower in Asia, China.
US economic supremacy in Asia had been deeply eroded as China’s economy grew at double digits. Beijing was displacing the US as the major trade partner in the Latin American and African markets. Meanwhile, the top 500 US MNC’s were heavily invested in China. Three years into President Obama’s first term the ‘China militarist faction’ announced a shift from the Middle East and the Israel-centric agenda to a ‘pivot to Asia’, the source of 40% of the world’s industrial output.
But it was not profits and markets that motivated Washington’s Asia faction among the militarist elites – it was military power .Even trade agreements, like the TransPacific Partnership (TPP), were viewed as tools to encircle and weaken China militarily and undermine its regional influence.
Led by the hysterical Pentagon boss Ashton Carter, Washington prepared a series of major military confrontations with Beijing off the coast of China.
The US signed expanded military base agreements with the Philippines, Japan and Australia; it participated in military exercises with Vietnam, South Korea and Malaysia; it dispatched battleships and aircraft carriers into Chinese territorial waters.
The US confrontational trade policy was formulated by the Zionist trio: Secretary of Commerce, Penny Pritzer, Trade Negotiator Michael Froman (who works for both the Asia militarist and Zionist factions) and Treasury Secretary Jake Lew. The result was the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), involving 12 Pacific countries while deliberating excluding China. Washington’s Asian militarist faction planned to militarize the entire Pacific Basin, in order to dominate the maritime trade routes and, at a moment’s notice, choke off all of China’s overseas markets and suppliers – shades of the series of US provocations against Japan leading up to the US entering WW2.
The ‘Asia-militarist faction’ successfully demanded a bigger military budget to accommodate its vastly more aggressive posture toward China.
Predictably, China has insisted on defending its maritime routes and has increased its naval and air base building and sea and air patrols. Also, predictably, China has countered the US-dominated TPP by setting-up a one hundred billion dollar Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), while contributing to the multi-billion dollar BRICS Bank. Meanwhile, China even signed a separate $30 billion dollar trade agreement with Washington’s strategic ‘partner’, Britain. In fact, Britain followed the rest of the EU and joined the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank – despite objections from Washington’s “Asia faction”.
While the US depends heavily on its military pacts with South Korea and Japan, the latter nations have been meeting with China – their most significant trading partner – to work on expanding and deepening economic ties.
Up until 2014, the “business-with-China faction” of the Washington elite played a key role in the making of US-Asia policy. However, they have been eclipsed by the Asia militarist-faction, which is taking US policy in a totally different direction: Pushing China out as Asia’s economic superpower and escalating military confrontation with Beijing now heads Washington’s agenda.
Ashton Carter, the US Defense Secretary, has China, the second most important economy in the world in the Pentagon’s ‘cross-hairs’. When the TPP failed to curtail China’s expansion, the militarist faction shifted Washington toward a high risk military course, which could destabilize the region and risk a nuclear confrontation.
The Pirouette: China and Syria
Meanwhile in the Levant, Washington’s Zionist faction has been busy running a proxy war in Syria. The pivot to Asia has had to compete with the pirouette to Syria and Yemen.
The US joined Saudi Arabia, Turkey, the Gulf Emirates and the EU in sponsoring a replay of the Libyan ‘regime change’– sponsoring proxy terrorists from around the globe into invading and devastating Syria. Damascus has been attacked from all sides for the ‘crime’ of being secular and multi-ethnic; for being pro-Palestinian; for being allied with Iran and Lebanon; for having an independent foreign policy; and for maintaining a limited representative (but not necessarily democratic) government. For these crimes, the West, Israel and the Saudis would have Syria fractured into ethnically cleansed ‘tribal state’ – something they had accomplished in Iraq and Libya.
The US militarist faction (personified by Secretary of Defense Carter and Senators McCain and Graham) have funded, trained and equipped the terrorists, whom they call ‘moderates’ and had clearly expected their progeny to follow Washington’s directions. The emergence of Isis showed just how close these ‘moderates’ stuck to Washington’s script.
Initially, the traditional militarist wing of Washington’s elite resisted the Zionist faction’s demand for direct US military intervention (American ‘boots on the ground’). That is changing with recent (very convenient) events in Paris.
Warfare: From Piecemeal Interventions to Nuclear Confrontation
The Washington militarists have again committed more US soldiers to Iraq and Afghanistan; American fighter planes and Special Forces are in Syria and Yemen. Meanwhile, US naval armadas aggressively patrol the coasts of China and Iran. The militarist – Zionist ‘compromise’ over Syria was comprised of an initial contingent of 50 US Special Forces to join in ‘limited’ combat roles with (“loyal” sic) Islamist mercenaries – the so-called ‘moderates’. There are commitments for greater and heavier weaponry to come, including ground to air missiles capable of shooting down Russian and Syrian military jets.
Elite Factional Politics: An Overview
How does the record of these competing factions, formulating US imperial war policies in the Middle East over the past 15 years stack up? Clearly there has been no coherent imperial economic strategy.
The policy toward Afghanistan is remarkable for its failure to end the longest war in US history – over 14 years of occupation! The recent attempts by US-led client NATO forces to withdraw have been immediately followed by military advances by the nationalist-Islamist resistance militia – the Taliban, which controls much of the countryside. The possibility of a collapse of the current puppet in Kabul has forced the militarists in Washington to retain US bases – surrounded by completely hostile rural populations.
The Afghan war’s initial appearance of success triggered new wars – inter alia Iraq. But taking the long view, the Afghan war, has been a miserable failure in terms of the stated strategic goal of establishing a stable client government. The Afghan economy collapsed: opium production (which had been significantly suppressed by the Taliban’s poppy eradication campaign in 2000-2001) is the now predominant crop – with cheap heroin flooding Europe and beyond. Under the weight of massive and all pervasive corruption by ‘loyal’ client officials – the Afghan treasury is empty. The puppet rulers are totally disconnected from the most important regional, ethnic, religious and family clans and associations.
Washington could not ‘find’ any viable economic classes in Afghanistan with which to anchor a development strategy. They did not come to terms with the deep ethno-religious consciousness rooted in rural communities and fought the most popular political force among the majority Pashtu, the Taliban, which had no role in the attack on ‘9/11’.
They artificially slapped together a massive army of surly illiterates under Western imperial command and watched it fall apart at the seams, defect to the Taliban or turn their own guns on the foreign occupation troops. These “mistakes”, which accounted for the failure of the militarist faction in the Afghanistan war were due, in no small part, to the pressure and influence of the Zionist faction who wanted to quickly move on to their highest priority, a US war against Israel’s first priority enemy – Iraq - without consolidating the US control in Afghanistan. For the Zionists, Afghanistan (envisioned as a ‘cake-walk’ or quick victory) was just a tool to set the stage for a much larger sequence of US wars against Israel’s regional Arab and Persian adversaries.
Before the militarists could establish any viable order and an enduring governmental structure in Afghanistan, attention shifted to a Zionist-centered war against Iraq.
The build-up for the US war against Iraq has to be understood as a project wholly engineered by and for the state of Israel, mostly through its agents within the US government and Washington policy elite. The goal was to establish Israel as the unchallenged political-military power in the region using American troops and money and preparing the ground for Tel Aviv’s “final solution” for the Palestinian ‘problem’; total expulsion…
The US military and occupation campaign included the wholesale and systematic destruction of Iraq: Its law and order, culture, economy and society – so there would be no possibility of recovery. Such a vicious campaign did not resonate with any productive sector of the US economy (or for that matter with any Israeli economic interest).
Washington’s Zionist faction set about in a parody of ‘Pol Pot’s Khmer Rouge’ to identify and destroy any competent, experienced Iraqi professional, civil servant, scientist, intellectual, or military official capable of re-organizing and re-building the county and war-battered society. They were assassinated, arrested, tortured or driven into exile. The occupation deliberately encouraged religious parties and traditional tribes to engage in inter-communal massacres and ethnic cleansing. In other words, the Zionist faction did not pursue the traditionally understood policy of empire building which would incorporate the second tier functionaries of a conquered state to form a competent client regime and use Iraq’s great oil and gas wealth to build its economy. Instead they chose to impose a scorched earth policy; setting loose organized sectarian armies, imposing the rule of grotesquely corrupt ex-pats and placing the most venal, sectarian clients in positions of power. The effect has been to transform the most advanced, secular Arab country into an ‘Afghanistan’ and in less than 15 years destroying centuries of culture and community.
The goal of the ‘Zionist strategy’ was to destroy Iraq as Israel’s regional rival. The cost of over a million Iraqi dead and many million refugees did not prick any conscience in Washington or Tel Aviv.
After all, Washington’s traditional ‘militarist faction’ picked up the bill (costing hundreds of billions) which they passed on to the American taxpayers (well over one trillion dollars) and used the deaths and suffering of tens of thousands of American troops to provide a pretext for spreading more chaos. The result of their mayhem includes the specter of ‘Isis’, which they may consider to be a success – since hysteria over ‘Isis’ pushes the West ‘closer to Israel’.
The sheer scale of death and destruction inflicted on the Iraqi population by the Zionist faction led to thousands of highly competent Ba’athist officers, who had survived ‘Shock and Awe’ and the sectarian massacres, to join armed Islamist Sunnis and eventually form the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS). This group of experienced Iraqi military officers formed the strategic technical core of Isis which launched a devastating offensive in Iraq in 2014 – taking major cities in the north and completely routing the US-trained puppet armies of the ‘government’ in Baghdad. From there they moved into Syria and beyond. It is fundamental to understanding the roots of ISIS: The Zionist faction among US militarist policymakers imposed a deliberate ‘scorched earth’ occupation policy, which united highly trained nationalist Ba’athist military officers with young Sunni fighters ,both locals and increasingly foreign jihadist mercenaries. These deracinated members of the traditional Iraqi nationalist military elite had lost their families to the sectarian massacres; they were persecuted, tortured, driven underground and highly motivated. They literally had nothing left to lose!
This core of the Isis leadership stands in stark contrast to the colonial, corrupt and demoralized army slapped together by the US military with more cash than morale. ISIS quickly swept through half of Iraq and came within 40 miles of Baghdad.
The US militarist faction faced military defeat after eight years of war. They mobilized, financed and armed their client Kurdish mercenaries in northern Iraq and recruited the Shia Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani to appeal to the Shia militia.
ISIS exploited the Western-backed Islamist uprising in Syria – and extended their sweep well across the border. Syria had accepted a million Iraqi refugees from the US invasion, including many of Iraq’s surviving experienced nationalist administrative elite. The US militarists are in a dilemma – another full-scale war would not be politically feasible, and its military outcome uncertain…Moreover the US was aligned with dubious allies - especially the Saudis - who had their own regional ambitions
Turkey and Saudi Arabia, Israel and the Kurds were each eager to expand their power territorially and politically.
In the midst of this, the traditional Washington militarists are left with no overall viable imperialist strategy. Instead they improvise with faux ‘rebels’, who claim to be moderates and democrats, while taking US guns and dollars and ultimately joining the most powerful Islamist groups – like Isis.
Throwing a wrench into the machinery of Israeli-Saudi hegemonic ambitions, Russia, Iran and Hezbollah have sided with the secular Syrian government. Russia finally moved to bomb Isis strongholds – after identifying a significant Isis contingent of militant Chechens whose ultimate aims are to bring war and terror back to Russia.
The US-EU war against Libya unleashed all the retrograde mercenary forces from three continents (Africa, Asia and Europe) and Washington finds itself with no means to control them. Washington could not even protect its own consulate in their “ liberated” regional capital of Benghazi – the US ambassador and two intelligence aides were killed by Washington’s own ‘rebels’. The competing and cooperating factions of the Washington militarist elite placed Libya on a steaming platter: Serving up invasion, regicide and hundreds of thousands of refugees, which they did not bother to even ‘season’ with any plan or strategy – just unadulterated scorched earth against another opponent of Zionism. And a potentially lucrative strategic neo-colony in North Africa has been lost with no accountability for the Washington architects of such barbarism.
Latin America: The Last Outpost of the Multi-Nationals
As we have seen, the major theaters of imperial policy (the Middle East and Asia) have been dominated by militarists, not professional diplomats-linked to the MNCs. Latin America stands as something of an exception. In Latin America, US policymakers have been guided by big business interests. Their main focus has been on pushing the neo-liberal agenda. Eventually this has meant promoting the US-centered ‘free trade’ agreements, joint military exercises, shared military bases, and political backing for the US global military agenda.
The ‘militarist faction’ in Washington worked with the traditional business faction in support of the unsuccessful military coups in Venezuela (2002 and 2014), the attempted coup in Bolivia 2008, and a successful regime change in Honduras (2010).
To harass the independent Argentine government which was developing closer diplomatic and trade ties with Iran, a sector of the US Zionist financial elite (the ‘vulture fund’ magnate Paul Singer) joined forces with the Zionist militarist faction to raise hysterical accusations against President Cristina Kirchner over the ‘mysterious’ suicide of a Israel-linked Argentine prosecutor. The prosecutor, Alberto Nisman, had devoted his career to ‘cooking up a case’ against Iran with the aid of the Mossad and CIA for the unsolved, bombing the Buenos Aires Jewish community center in 1994. Various investigations had exonerated Iran and the “Nisman Affaire” was an intense effort to keep Argentina from trading with Iran.
The Washington business faction operated in a mildly hostile Latin America for most of the past decade. However, it was able to recover influence, via a series of bilateral free trade agreements and took advantage of the end of the commodity cycle. The latter weakened the center-left regimes and moved them closer to Washington.
The ‘excesses’ committed by the US backed military dictatorships during the nineteen sixties through eighties, and the crisis of the neo-liberal nineties, set the stage for the rise of a relatively moderate business-diplomatic faction to come to the fore in Washington. It is also the case that the various militarist and Zionist factions in Washington were focused elsewhere (Europe, Middle East and Asia). In any case the US political elite operates in Latin America mostly via political and business proxies, for the time being.
Conclusion
From our brief survey, it is clear that wars play a key role in US foreign policy in most regions of the world. However, war policies in different regions respond to different factions in the governing elite.
The traditional militarist faction predominates creating confrontations in Ukraine, Asia and along the Russian border. Within that framework the US Army, Air Force and Special Forces play a leading, and fairly conventional, role. In the Far East, the Navy and Air Force predominate.
In the Middle East and South Asia, the military (Army and Air Force) factions share power with the Zionist faction . Fundamentally the Zionist dictate policy on Iraq, Lebanon and Palestine and the militarists follow.
Both factions overlapped in creating the debacle in Libya.
The factions form shifting coalitions, supporting wars of interest to their respective power centers. The militarists and Zionists worked together in launching the Afghan war; but once launched, the Zionists abandoned Kabul and concentrated on preparing for the invasion and occupation of Iraq, which was of far greater interest to Israel.
It should be noted that at no point did the oil and business elite play any significant role in war policy. The Zionist faction pushed hard to secure direct US ground intervention in Libya and Syria, but was not able to force the US to send large contingents of ground troops due to opposition from the Russians as well as a growing sector of the US electorate. Likewise, the Zionists played a leading role in successfully imposing sanctions against Iran and a major role in prosecuting banks around the world accused of violating the sanctions. However, they were not able to block the military faction from securing a diplomatic agreement with Iran over its uranium enrichment program - without going to war.
Clearly, the business faction plays a major role in promoting US trade agreements and tries to lift or avoid sanctions against important real and potential trade partners like China, Iran and Cuba.
The Zionists faction among the Washington elite policymakers take positions which consistently push for wars and aggressive policies against any regime targeted by Israel. The differences between the traditional militarist and Zionist factions are blurred by most writers who scrupulously avoid identifying Zionist decision-makers, but there is no question of who benefits and who loses.
The kind of war which the Zionists promote and implement – the utter destruction of enemy countries - undermines any plans by the traditional militarist faction and the military to consolidate power in an occupied country and incorporate it into a stable empire.
It is a serious error to lump these factions together: the business, Zionist and various militarist factions of the Washington policy making elite are not one homogeneous group. They may overlap at times, but they also differ as to interests, liabilities, ideology and loyalties. They also differ in their institutional allegiances.
The overarching militarist ideology, which permeates US imperial foreign policy obscures a deep and recurrent weakness – US policymakers master the mechanics of war but have no strategy for ruling after intervening. This has been glaringly evident in all recent wars: Iraq, Syria, Libya, Ukraine etc. Improvisation has repeatedly led to monumental failures: from financing phantom armies to bleeding billions to prop-up incompetent, kleptocratic puppet regimes. Despite the hundreds of billions of public money wasted in these serial disasters, no policymaker has been held to account.
Long wars and short memories are the norm for Washington’s militarist rulers who do not lose sleep over their blunders. The Zionists, for their part, do not even need a strategy for rule. They push the US into wars for Israel, and once having destroyed “the enemy country” they leave a vacuum to be filled by chaos. The American public provides the gold and blood for these misadventures and reaps nothing but domestic deterioration and greater international strife.