Israel’s West Bank annexation moves raise security alarm in Jordan
Amman fears a ‘soft transfer’ of Palestinians from the
occupied territory, with experts warning it could trigger a ‘regional
earthquake’
By Mohammad
Ersan in
Amman
Published date: 15 February 2026
When Israel announced sweeping
changes to the occupied West Bank, measures widely seen as accelerating
annexation, Jordan was among the first to condemn the move.
For decades, Amman has feared the mass displacement
of Palestinians from the West Bank. But analysts say its concern
is no longer limited to “creeping annexation” or gradual land seizures.
Instead, the latest measures - which Jordan has
described as null and void - are seen as the start of a “total annexation”
phase, threatening not just the geography of the West Bank but the very core of
Jordan’s national security.
“This measure represents a leap across strategic
stages,” Omar al-Ayasrah, a member of Jordan’s Senate, the upper house
appointed by the king, told Middle East Eye.
“They aim to completely remove Jordan’s influence on
the Palestinian cause and the legal protections for Arab landowners, opening
the door to ‘legalise’ their transfer to the occupation,” he added.
The Israeli changes, announced last week, include a
wide range of measures - one of which is particularly sensitive for Jordan.
That is the revocation of the 1953 law introduced when
Jordan administered the West Bank, which banned the sale of property in the
Palestinian territory to non-Arabs.
The law was intended to prevent land purchases by
Israelis that could accelerate settlement expansion.
Another measure involves the declassification of land
registers in the West Bank. Keeping those records classified had been intended
to protect property from being transferred through intermediaries or through
forged claims to settlers.
The changes will also enable Israel to legalise the
confiscation of unregistered or abandoned lands by reclassifying them as “state
lands”.
The measures are seen as a radical shift in the legal
and civil reality of the occupied West Bank, stripping the Palestinian
Authority (PA) of the limited self-rule it gained under the 1993 Oslo Accords
and entrenching de facto annexation.
“The revocation of the Jordanian law is not merely a
symbolic change,” Ayasrah warned.
“It is a transition to a phase of accelerated,
incremental annexation of the West Bank.”
‘Soft transfer’
Historically, Jordan maintained deep ties with the
West Bank, administering it from 1950 until its administrative and legal
disengagement in 1988.
Despite that disengagement, the West Bank has remained
central to Jordan’s national security because of profound demographic, economic
and geographic links.
Jordan, already home to a large Palestinian refugee
population, now fears fresh waves of displacement that could destabilise its
internal security and impose severe economic and social strain.
That is why, according to Ayasrah, the real battle is
demographic.
“Suffocating the Palestinians’ geographic space and
crippling their economy by seizing land and farms is a prelude to what we call
‘soft transfer’,” he said.
“This systematic pressure, coupled with the absence of
a political horizon and soaring unemployment, is designed to push Palestinians
towards emigration - a scenario Amman views as a nightmare striking at its
national security.”
In response to the Israeli moves, some in Jordan have
called for escalation, with options ranging from revoking the 1994 peace treaty
to military confrontation.
For now, however, Ayasrah says the government is
exhausting diplomatic and legal avenues.
That includes maintaining diplomatic pressure on
Israel and supporting the PA and the West Bank economy to help Palestinians
remain on their land.
“Jordan has only the ‘hammer of diplomacy’,” Ayasrah
said, describing revoking the peace treaty as “political suicide”.
At the same time, the Royal Hashemite Documentation
Centre (RHDC), an arm of the Jordanian royal court, is intensifying efforts to
restore thousands of historical documents and deeds proving Palestinian land
ownership, some dating back to the Ottoman era and earlier.
According to its director, Muhannad Mubaidin, the
documents could be used in a legal challenge at the International Court of
Justice (ICJ) against the decisions taken by Israel.
"The centre’s work on Palestinian land documents
is not new; it has been ongoing for 18 years," Mubaidin told MEE. "We
have restored records pertaining to land registers from the 1858 Ottoman Land
Code, and subsequently, registers from the British Mandate period."
"Today, this archival work is of paramount
importance," he added. "Even if Israel disregards international law,
these records are vital for memory, and the 'memory wars' Israel employs to
depict Palestinian lands as having no owners, residents, or history."
Red lines
Political analyst Lamis Andoni believes Jordan cannot
continue with a policy of “waiting out the storm” or relying solely on security
arrangements.
The latest Israeli measures are a “moment of truth”
that no previous Israeli government has dared to reach, she said.
Amman has leverage it could use, she added, including
the gas deal with Israel and the United States’ reliance on Jordan’s strategic
location, especially amid rising tensions with Iran.
“The current strategy, which hesitates to use real
leverage such as cancelling the gas deal or halting normalisation tracks, may
be interpreted in Israel as a green light to proceed with the liquidation of
the Palestinian cause at the expense of Jordanian territory,” Andoni told MEE.
Retired Jordanian major general and military expert
Mamoun Abu Nuwar said the land confiscation moves in the West Bank amount to an
“undeclared war” on Jordan.
He explained that Amman relies on “preventive
diplomacy backed by force”, with clear red lines focused on the custodianship
of holy sites, including Al-Aqsa Mosque in occupied East Jerusalem.
“Jordan’s options, should diplomacy fail, could
include suspending agreements, downgrading diplomatic ties, or even halting
security coordination,” Abu Nuwar said.
“Jordan could even be forced to declare the border
with the West Bank a military zone to prevent displacement,” he added.
He stressed that the military was prepared to handle
such Israeli threats and warned that the forced displacement of Palestinians
from the West Bank would shatter Jordan’s demographic balance.
“Jordan will not allow this project to pass,” he said.
“Israeli overreach could spark a violent conflict
across the region, and Israel would not succeed in such a confrontation with
Jordan, given the kingdom’s strategic geopolitical position - which could
trigger a regional earthquake.”