Is Nixing Aid to Israel a Poison Chalice?
Ending the existing arrangement could result in even
more extensive forms of involvement.
Feb 9, 2026
https://www.theamericanconservative.com/is-nixing-aid-to-israel-a-poison-chalice/
There is a lot of talk about getting rid of the
massive agreement that guarantees Israel billions of dollars in military aid
each year. And it’s not just critics of Israel: Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu and Senator Lindsey Graham have even said they want to “taper off”
the money because Israel is ready to stand on its own two feet.
But while a debate over the annual package would be a
most welcome one given the enormous sums of American taxpayer money that has
flowed to Israel’s wars in recent years, it is important to keep an eye on what
might be a bait and switch: trading one guarantee for a set of others that
might be less transparent and more expensive than what’s on the books today.
When President Bill Clinton announced the first Memorandum of Agreement, a 10-year,
$26.7 billion military and economic aid package to Israel, he expressed hope
that it would complement the advancement of the Oslo Accords, the peace process he had shepherded between the
Israelis and Palestinians earlier in his term.
The peace process tied to Oslo pretty much fell apart
after expected Israeli withdrawals from the West Bank as outlined in the Wye River Agreement in 1998 never happened; today Israeli settlements
considered illegal under international law have exploded, with more than
700,000 settlers living there today and Israelis controlling security in most of the territory. But the 10-year MOU
lived on.
Not only has it been renewed through the Bush and
Obama administrations; the total outlays have increased. The current one,
signed in 2016, pledged $38 billion over the decade, just under $4 billion a
year and now all of it military aid. According to the Council on Foreign Relations, Israel is by far the biggest recipient of U.S. aid
in history, some $300 billion since its founding, with the greatest proportion
coming from those MOUs.
Supporters of the aid say it comes with military and
strategic partnerships that are supposed to help keep the neighborhood safe for
the U.S., Israel, and its “allies” (there are no treaty allies in the region),
but the last 40 years have been pockmarked with wars and waves of human
displacement and misery. Beyond financially and militarily supporting Israel’s
wars, the U.S. has been bombing, regime-changing, occupying, and fending off
terrorist insurgencies created by its own policies in Central Asia, the Horn of
Africa, and the Middle East since 1999. Today, with Israel’s encouragement, President Donald Trump is poised to bomb Iran for the second time in his current term in office.
On February 3 the Congress passed the latest installment of the current MOU—$3.3
billion. It was a bipartisan affair, with Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer
assuring a group of Jewish leaders the previous
weekend, that “I have
many jobs as leader … and one is to fight for aid to Israel, all the aid that
Israel needs.”
But not everyone is on board with the open spigot. And
a spigot it is. According to CFR, the U.S. gave $16.3 billion (which included
its annual $3.8 billion outlays) to Israel after the Oct. 7, 2023 attacks.
Israel’s retaliation for those attacks, which killed 1,200 Israelis, has
resulted in more than 71,000 recorded Palestinian deaths in Gaza so far, a
blockade that has left the 2 million population there largely homeless,
starving, sick, and unsafe. Americans have reacted by rejecting the prospects of further
aid, with a plurality
now—42 percent—saying they want to decrease if not stop aid altogether. That is
up from the mid-20 percent range in October 2023.
Beyond Americans’ aversion to funding the slaughter of
civilians in Gaza, a conservative fissure over continued, unconditional support
for Israel has opened wide over the last year, exposing another rationale for discontinuing the
aid: It is not “America First.” It not only siphons off aid from much needed
renewal at home, but forces Washington to aid and abet another country’s
foreign policy, which is increasingly counterproductive and contrary to our own
politics and values.
The region is not safer, and moreover, it has not
allowed for the United States to reduce its military footprint as guarantor of
security there.
One then-congresswoman, Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA), was vocal in her opposition to this aid. Israel, she pointed out, has
nuclear weapons and is “quite capable of defending itself.” She has pointed out
Israel’s universal health care and subsidized college tuition for its citizens,
“yet here in America we’re 37 trillion dollars in debt.”
Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY.) posted on X that he voted
against the spending bill on February 3 in part to deny Israel the $3.3
billion in aid. He
has said the aid takes money out of Americans’ pockets and proliferates human
suffering in our name. “Nothing can justify the number of civilian casualties
(tens of thousands of women and children) inflicted by Israel in Gaza in the
last two years. We should end all U.S. military aid to Israel now,” he said in May of last year.
In an interview with The American Conservative last
week, he said he is speaking for his Kentucky district and despite a
retaliatory 2026 primary challenge driven largely by Trump and donors linked to the American Israel Political Affairs
Committee (AIPAC), he will continue to raise the issue in Congress. He said he
has asked his GOP constituents every year whether to maintain, increase, or cut
Israel annual aid since 2012.
“I’ve polled that [question] every election cycle in
my congressional district among likely Republican voters, and this was the
first year that a majority of people answered nothing [no aid] at all, or
less,” said Massie. “It’s not a third rail back home. It’s a third rail inside
of the Beltway.”
According to reports last month, Israel is “preparing for talks” with
the Trump administration to renew the MOU for another 10 years. One might be
flummoxed to hear, however, that Netanyahu is giving interviews in which he
says he wants to “taper off” American aid in that decade “to zero.” Israel has
“come of age” and “we’ve developed incredible capacities,” he said in January.
Immediately after, Graham, who seems to spend more
time in Israel than Washington these days, said he heartily agreed and hoped to end the aid sooner. “I’m going to work on expediting the wind down of
the aid and recommend we plow the money back into our own military,” he said.
“As an American, you’re always appreciating allies that can be more
self-sufficient.”
The idea of self-sufficiency and furthermore the
concept of Israel releasing itself from any “ties” that might come from the aid
is not a new one among supporters here and especially the hardline right in
Israel. “Cut the US aid, and Israel becomes fully sovereign,” Laura Loomer
charged on X in November. In March of last year, the Heritage Foundation called for gradually reducing the direct grants in the next
MOUs starting in 2029 and transitioning gradually to more military cooperation
and then finally arms transfers through the Foreign Military Sales by
2047.
Israel, the report concludes, should be “elevated to
strategic partner for the benefit of Israel, the United States, and the Middle
East. Transforming the U.S.–Israel relationship requires changing the regional
paradigm, specifically advancing new security and commercial architectures.”
The plan also leans heavily on future Abraham Accords ensuring trade and
military pacts with Arab countries in the neighborhood.
Therein lies the fix, say critics. The reason these
staunch advocates of Israel including Netanyahu, the most demanding of its
leaders over the last 30 years by far, is willing to forgo MOU aid,
is that they envision it will come from somewhere else, less politically
charged.
“The emerging plan is to substitute formal military
funding—known as Foreign Military Financing—with greater U.S. taxpayer-funded
co-development and co-production of weapons with Israel,” says the Institute for Middle East
Understanding,
which adds that instead of extricating from Israel’s messes, the U.S. will be
further “enmeshed” in them.
The think tank points out that the Foundation for the
Defense of Democracies (FDD), the most unreconstructed pro-Israel organ in the
United States, came out with its own report on the
aid, and surprise, also
advocated phasing out the MOU. In addition to a commitment by Israel to spend
more of its GDP on defense and other co-investments with the U.S. on research
and development, the U.S. would “provide Israel $5 billion each year through what
would be known as a Partnership Investment Incentive—or PII. This PII would
provide funding via existing foreign military financing (FMF) mechanisms that
Israel would use to procure American military hardware.” The difference would
be that it would have to be spent entirely in U.S. industry and on cooperative
partnerships in the region, all while maintaining Israel’s “Qualitative Military Edge.”
Geoff Aronson, longtime Middle East analyst and
occasional TAC contributor, said the aid has been “an important if not vital
competent in ensuring American and Israeli hegemony in the region” and is
linked intrinsically to balancing U.S. strategic relations and normative
Israeli peace with Egypt and Jordan, which gets billions in military aid (not
as much) from the U.S. too. None of this is going to go away, he surmised to
TAC.
“The question that is being posed is how can we
continue to support Israel's ability to work its will in the region without
committing ourself to X, Y, Z or committing to a new partnership, a new
agreement,” he said. “Watch what you wish for, because it might come true.”