EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Since President George W.
Bush announced a “global war on terror” following Al Qaeda’s September 11, 2001
attacks on the United States, the U.S. military has engaged in combat around
the world. As in past conflicts, the United States’ post-9/11 wars have
resulted in mass population displacements. This report is the first to measure
comprehensively how many people these wars have displaced. Using the best
available international data, this report conservatively estimates that at
least 37 million people have fled their homes in the eight most violent wars
the U.S. military has launched or participated in since 2001. The report
details a methodology for calculating wartime displacement provides an
overview of displacement in each war-affected country and points to
displacement’s individual and societal impacts. Wartime displacement (alongside
war deaths and injuries) must be central to any analysis of the post-9/11 wars
and their short- and long-term consequences. Displacement also must be central
to any possible consideration of the future use of military force by the United
States or others. Ultimately, displacing 37 million—and perhaps as many as 59
million—raises the question of who bears responsibility for repairing the
damage inflicted on those displaced.
Some of the
Costs of War Project’s main findings include:
- At least
800,000 people have died due to direct war violence, including armed
forces on all sides of the conflicts, contractors, civilians, journalists,
and humanitarian workers.
- It is
likely that many times more have died indirectly in these wars, due to
malnutrition, damaged infrastructure, and environmental degradation.
- Over
335,000 civilians have
been killed in direct violence by all parties to these conflicts.
- Over
7,000 US soldiers have
died in the wars.
- We
do not know the full extent of how many US service members returning from
these wars became injured or ill while
deployed.
- Many
deaths and injuries among US contractors have
not been reported as required by law, but it is likely that approximately
8,000 have been killed.
- 21
million Afghan, Iraqi, Pakistani, and Syrian people are living as war
refugees and internally displaced persons, in grossly inadequate
conditions.
- The
US government is conducting counterterror activities in 80 countries,
vastly expanding this war across the globe.
- The
wars have been accompanied by erosions in civil liberties
and human rights at home and
abroad.
- The
human and economic costs of these wars will continue for decades with some costs, such as the financial costs of US veterans’ care,
not peaking until mid-century.
- US
government funding of reconstruction
efforts in Iraq and
Afghanistan has totaled over $199 billion. Most of those funds have gone towards arming security forces in both countries. Much of the money allocated to humanitarian relief and rebuilding civil society has been lost to fraud, waste, and abuse.
- The
cost of the Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Syria wars totals about $6.4
trillion. This does not include future interest costs on borrowing for the wars, which will add an estimated $8 trillion in the next 40 years.
- The
ripple effects on the US economy have also been significant, including job loss and interest rate increases.
- Both Iraq and Afghanistan continue to rank extremely low in global studies of political freedom.
- Women
in Iraq and Afghanistan are excluded from political power and experience high rates of unemployment and war widowhood.
- Compelling alternatives to war were scarcely considered in the aftermath of 9/11 or in the discussion about a war against Iraq. Some of those alternatives are still available to the US.
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