Why is Biden’s Foreign
Policy So Conventional?
BY JOHN FEFFER
JULY 2, 2021
https://www.counterpunch.org/2021/07/02/why-is-bidens-foreign-policy-so-conventional/
On the domestic front, Joe Biden is flirting with
transformational policies around energy, environment, and infrastructure. It’s
not a revolution, but it’s considerably less timid than what Barack Obama
offered in that pre-Trump, pre-pandemic era.
When it comes to foreign policy, however, the Biden
administration has been nowhere near as transformational. The phrase Joe Biden
has used so often is: America is back. That sentiment certainly captures some
aspects of Biden’s relationship with the international community, such as
repairing relations with the World Health Organization and rejoining the Paris
climate accords. In these ways, the administration has brought America back to
the status quo that existed before Trump was unleashed on the world stage.
But on some very important issues—China, Iran,
Cuba, North Korea—Biden hasn’t managed to restore even the previous status quo.
His approach to military spending and the arms race is decidedly hawkish. His
message on immigration, as expressed by Vice President Kamala Harris on a visit
to Guatemala earlier this month effectively erases the inscription on the
Statue of Liberty by telling potential border crossers in the
region to stay home.
Okay, foreign policy is not a winning issue at the
ballot box, and Biden certainly has a lot on his agenda. But even the
notoriously cautious Obama took some courageous steps with Tehran and Havana.
It’s possible that Biden is focusing on America
first before turning to the world as a whole. It’s also possible that he’s
simply not interested in altering U.S. foreign policy in any significant way
beyond removing U.S. troops from Afghanistan. True, it was exhilarating to have
a conventional president again after Trump. But “conventional,” when it comes
to U.S. foreign policy, is just not good enough.
Confronting China
If the Biden administration’s overriding domestic
preoccupation is the sustainable economy, then its dominant foreign policy
obsession in China.
Biden and Xi have spoken only once—by telephone in
February. Xi participated in Biden’s virtual climate confab in April. They are
likely to meet face to face sometime this year, possibly around the G20 summit
in Rome in October. There’s been talk of greater cooperation on addressing the
climate crisis. And there haven’t been any overt military confrontations in the
South China Sea or elsewhere.
But otherwise, Biden and Xi have not really gotten
off on the right foot. It was a no-brainer for the new Biden administration to
lift the Trump-era tariffs on Chinese products and de-escalate the trade war
that unsettled manufacturers and consumers on both sides of the Pacific. The
Biden team is ostensibly doing a review of U.S.-China trade policy with a focus
on whether Beijing has met its commitments under the “phase one trade deal”
signed back in January 2020 (so far, it’s been a mixed record of China meeting some
targets for U.S. imports and missing others).
The review is more than just bean-counting. In a
marked departure from the usual neoliberal trade talk coming out of Washington,
U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai has said, “I want to disconnect
this idea that the only way we do affirmative trade engagement, trade
enhancement is through a free trade agreement.” Tai prefers to operate
according to a “worker-centric trade policy” that
evaluates China on issues of forced labor, workers’ rights, and the
environment.
A more nuanced approach to trade is all to the
good, of course, and Tai should be commended for breaking with Washington
consensus.
But taken in conjunction with other Biden
administration policies, the reluctance to lift tariffs on Chinese goods is
part of a full-court economic press on the country. The Biden administration
has effectively continued the Trump approach of not only lining up allies in
the region to contain China (the Quad, the Blue Dot Network) but enlisting
European countries as well to join the bandwagon. In his recent trip to Europe,
Biden corralled the G7 to
create the Build Back Better World (B3W) initiative, a purported alternative to
China’s Belt and Road infrastructure program, and twisted some arms to get NATO
to prioritize China as part of its mission.
NATO’s new emphasis on China reflects the
Pentagon’s shift in focus. Trump might have loudly proclaimed his anti-China
animus, but the Biden administration is determined to close what it calls the “say-do gap” by
expanding capabilities beyond the Navy to challenge China in the air and above.
China’s moves in Hong Kong, Xinjiang, and the South
China Sea is deeply troubling. Nor is Beijing doing nearly enough to green its
Belt and Road Initiative. But the Biden administration needs to think
creatively about how to leverage China’s own multilateral aspirations in order
to address global problems. Trade tensions and disagreements about internal
policies are to be expected. Yet, the Biden administration has an urgent and
historic opportunity to work with China (and everyone else) to remake the
international community.
Sparring with Iran
Another no-brainer for the Biden administration was
reviving the Iran nuclear agreement that Trump tried to destroy. Granted, it
was tricky to unwind the sanctions against Tehran and address Iran’s demands
for compensation. It wasn’t easy to reassure the Iranian leadership of the
sincerity of U.S. intentions given not only Trump’s past hostility but the
current animosities of congressional Republicans. And there was also Israel,
which was doing everything within its power to scuttle diplomacy up to and
including sabotaging Iran’s nuclear
facilities and assassinating Iranian scientists.
These obstacles notwithstanding, the Biden team
could have gotten the job done if it had started earlier and been more
flexible. Not wanting to open itself up to criticism from hawks at home,
however, the administration argued for a mutual, step-by-step return to the
agreement. By contrast, Iran quite sensibly argued that the United States,
since it attempted to blow up the agreement, should be the first to compromise
by removing sanctions, a position that some U.S. policymakers have also supported.
Meanwhile, the Biden administration is continuing a
tit-for-tat confrontation with militias aligned with Iran. This week, the
administration launched airstrikes against facilities on the Iraq-Syria border
from which these militias have allegedly attacked U.S. bases in Iraq. U.S.
forces in Syria subsequently came under rocket
fire.
Why are there still U.S. soldiers in Iraq and Syria?
Didn’t the Biden administration commit to ending America’s endless wars?
Although U.S. forces are scheduled to depart Afghanistan in September and
Washington has pledged to remove troops from Iraq as well, negotiations around
the latter have yet to produce a timetable.
Removing the 2,500 U.S. soldiers from Iraq would
please the government in Baghdad, remove an irritant in U.S.-Iranian relations,
and take U.S. personnel out of harm’s way.
What’s not to like, Joe?
Getting Nowhere with Cuba and North Korea
Late in his second term, Barack Obama orchestrated
a bold rapprochement with Cuba. After lifting financial and travel
restrictions, Obama visited the island in March 2016 to meet
with Cuban leader Raul Castro. It wasn’t a full opening. Washington maintained
a trade embargo and refused to close its anomalous base in Guantanamo. But it
was a start.
Donald Trump brought a quick end to that fresh
start by re-imposing the restrictions that Obama had lifted.
Joe Biden promised to resurrect the Obama policy.
Trump’s reversals, he said as a candidate, “have inflicted harm on the
Cuban people and done nothing to advance democracy and human rights.” And yet,
as president, he has done nothing to reverse Trump’s reversals.
As Karen de Young writes in The Washington Post, “Under Trump
restrictions, non-Cuban Americans are still prohibited from sending money to
the island. Cruise ships are banned from sailing from the United States to
Cuba and the dozens of scheduled U.S. commercial flights to Cuban cities have
largely stopped. Tight limits remain in place on commercial transactions.”
The reason for the new administration’s lack of
action, beyond its concerns about human rights in Cuba and its fear of
Republican opposition in Congress boils down to domestic politics. Robert
Menendez, the Democratic senator from New Jersey who never liked the Obama-era
détente with Cuba in the first place represents a key obstacle in Congress.
And public opinion in Florida among Cuban-Americans, which had swung in favor
of rapprochement during the Obama period, has now swung decisively in the other
direction, thanks to a steady diet of Trumpian demagoguery.
Here, the Biden administration could try something
new by closing Guantanamo. The administration is already launching a quiet effort to
close the detention facility at the base by resolving the status of the several
dozen inmates. He should go even further by rebooting Guantanamo as a center
for U.S.-Cuban environmental research, as scientists Joe Roman and James
Kraska have proposed.
North Korea, meanwhile, is the one place in the world where Trump sought to overturn decades of U.S. hostility. His attempts at
one-on-one diplomacy with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un didn’t achieve much
of anything, but it still might have served as a foundation for future
negotiations.
Biden has instead followed the script of all the
administrations prior to Trump: review policy, promises something new, fall back
on conventional thinking.
The administration finished its review of North Korea policy
in April. Biden rejected his predecessor’s
approaches as misguided. And he has relied on the usual
big-stick-and-small-carrot policy that stretches back to the 1990s. On the one
hand, he extended sanctions against the country
and has maintained a military encirclement. On the other, his emissaries have
reached out to Pyongyang, with a special representative for North Korea Sung
Kim saying this month that the United
States would meet with Pyongyang “anywhere, anytime, without preconditions.”
“Without preconditions” is fine. But what about
“with incentives”?
Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, North Korea is
more shut off from the world than usual. It is preoccupied with the economic
challenges associated with its increased isolation. In his annual address in
January, Kim Jong Un made the unusual admission that
the government’s economic program fell short of its goals. More recently,
he has said that his country is
“prepared for both dialogue and confrontation, especially … confrontation.”
Biden should focus on the first half of Kim’s
sentence. South Korea’s progressive president Moon Jae-in, nearing the end of
his own tenure, very much wants to advance reconciliation on the peninsula. Instead
of beefing up its military containment of the isolated country, Washington
could work with Seoul to break the current diplomatic impasse with a grand
humanitarian gesture. Whether it’s vaccines or food or infrastructure
development, North Korea needs help right now.
Military Exceptionalism
It’s still early in the Biden administration.
Remember: Obama didn’t achieve his major foreign policy achievements in Iran
and Cuba until later in his second term. Biden no doubt wants to accumulate
some political capital first, by repairing relations with allies and
participating in multilateral fora on the global stage and achieving some
economic success on the home front.
The administration’s position on military spending,
however, suggests that Biden is wedded to the most conventional of thinking.
The United States is poised to end its intervention
in Afghanistan and reduce its commitments in the Middle East. It is not
involved in any major military conflicts. Everyone is wondering how the
administration is going to pay for its ambitious infrastructure plans.
So, why has Biden asked for a larger military
budget? The administration’s 2022 request for the Pentagon is $715
billion, an increase of $10 billion, plus an
additional $38 billion for military-related spending at the Energy Department
and other agencies.
True, the administration is hoping to boost
non-military spending by a larger percentage. It is planning to remove the
“overseas contingency operations” line item that funded the wars in Afghanistan
and Iraq.
But if there ever was a time to reduce the U.S.
military spending, it’s now. The pandemic proved the utter worthlessness of
tanks and destroyers in defending the homeland from the most urgent threats.
Greater cooperation with China, a renewed nuclear pact with Iran, and détente
with both Cuba and North Korea would all provide powerful reasons for the
United States to reduce military spending.
To use Joe Biden’s signature phrase, “C’mon, man!”
John Feffer is the director of Foreign Policy In Focus, where this article
originally appeared.
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