AUGUST 19, 2015
COUNTERPUNCH.ORG
Most pundits predict that Obama will have enough votes to push
through the Iran nuclear deal. An AIPAC-driven Congress will oppose it, but
Obama will use his veto power to overcome the opposition. At the end of the
day, optimists forecast, the president will receive the requisite support in
Congress to prevent a veto override.
But I’m keeping my fingers crossed. Netanyahu and the Israel
Lobby are pulling out all the stops. Anyone who’s ever doubted the strength of
that Lobby (rooted in the Christian Zionism of U.S. evangelicals, and in the
political war chests of various diehard Israel support groups) must surely see
that awesome power now. It’s right in our face.
The incessant anti-deal ads; the uniform butt-headed Republican
opposition, alongside some Democrats’ resistance; the gingerly handling of the
issue by cable news anchors (wearing that consternated look whenever reporting
on the topic); the general ignorance surrounding the issues and malleability of
uninformed public opinion, all raise the prospect that the deal might actually
be defeated in the U.S. Congress.
Legislators will vote in response to their constituents’
called-in opinions. These are being summoned by the highly efficient,
infinitely funded Lobby propaganda machine.
Historically, simplistic fear ads have worked in the U.S.
Fear mongering, as Nazi propaganda master Joseph Goebbels famously observed,
works the same in every country. Organized fear mongering at the highest level
propelled public support for the Iraq War to 62% on its eve in March 2003. Many
people seriously, stupidly believed that a bleeding, crippled, impoverished
Iraq might for some reason drop a nuclear bomb on New York City. Such are the
heights of asininity to which humankind is susceptible.
Not Americans individually, but the masses are generally
ignorant and endlessly manipulable. It’s sad, but it’s a fact. Every U.S.
politician knows it.
We live under an oligarchy, in which the One Percent not only controls both the bulk of wealth but the creation of public opinion. Pretending to present “both sides” on any issue, its media in fact confines discussion within a carefully constricted ambit.
Thus, for example, on cable news you will hear voices promoting
or opposing more U.S. military assistance to Ukraine.
But you’ll not hear voices asserting that what happened in Kiev
in February 2014 in Kiev was a coup toppling a democratically elected leader
decisively abetted by neo-fascist forces and backed by the U.S. You just
can’t say such things. We’re supposed to believe that it was a popular protest
movement forcing a dictator to flee.
You won’t hear that the regime change was intended to draw
Ukraine into the NATO military alliance, expel the Russian navy from its only
warm water base (in Crimea where it has been based since the 1780s), and
complete NATO’s encirclement of Russia. This is a view widely held among U.S.
academics familiar with the region. But it cannot be said on CNN. The “free
press” in this free country simply does not allow it.
Telling the truth about Ukraine would be as unthinkable as
allowing voices in March 2003 to state that the Bush administration was lying
about Saddam Hussein’s possession of WMDs and 9/11 ties. Or predicting at that
time—as the then still popular commander-in-chief theatrically proclaimed a
“Mission Accomplished”—that the occupation would lead to a disastrous descent
into sectarian violence immolating the whole region.
The
“free press” in this country—steered by highly paid, establishment-entrenched,
Washington-insider news directors from General Electric, Newscorp, Disney,
Time-Warner, Verizon and Comcast—-can’t allow that sort of honesty. As
intimately and materially attached to the power structure as any Pravda or Izvestiajournalist ever was in the old Soviet
Union, they tout the State Department’s talking points as a matter of course.
There’s no way they will
encourage the questioning of any basics—like the validity of the skewed U.S.
political process, the righteousness of the “free market,” or the “exceptional”
virtue of this country when its military acts to reconfigure some corner of the
world. If they did not ascend to their current posts with a religious
commitment to U.S. imperialism, they acquired it through osmosis just by being
where they are.
People form opinions based on
what the media tells them. The above named six corporations provide most
people in this country with 90% of their information about current events. Also
providing entertainment, they have transformed the traditional conception of
journalism, trading even the pretense of sober objective reporting for
“infotainment.” News anchors are chosen for their looks, personalities, ability
to smoothly read teleprompters and their knack of engaging in light banter with
airhead colleagues for viewers’ amusement.
Understanding of the world and
critical reasoning skills have nothing to do with their routine. (In this
“post-modern” world, what does thought have to do with anything anyway? George
W. Bush’s political mentor Karl Rove famously told journalist Ron Suskind that
the “way the world really works” has nothing to do with the “reality-based
community” but is steered by an empire that creates its own reality—-through
lies.)
Every hour cable TV features
those fear-mongering anti-Iran deal ads. The news anchors focus on Donald
Trump’s latest comments or Hillary Clinton’s cell phone records. Aside from
some cursory coverage of bombings in Baghdad or Damascus, there’s no discussion
of ISIL’s steady progress or how that is rooted in the criminal U.S. war of
2003.
It’s just too painfully
embarrassing to go back there, and reflect on how what the U.S. did under
George W. Bush— advised by neocons with grand schemes of Middle East regime
change, and quietly cheered on by the Israeli government—produced such
mind-boggling levels of ongoing horrific pain.
While war crimes go unprosecuted,
conscious, calculating ignorance reigns.
The U.S. media is generally not
on board the Iran deal, or even prepared to address it intelligently. It
has scarcely even reported on the unprecedented initiative of the ambassadors
of France, Britain and Germany (July 21) to persuade Congress to back the deal
that their governments support. For the major news channels, that’s just not a
news story. (Just like Israel’s possession of nuclear weapons and refusal to
sign the Non-Proliferation Treaty is never, ever a news story.)
The average person on the street
is aware that a deal has been signed, but that most in Congress oppose it and
want a “better deal.” That almost sounds rational. Thousands are getting on the
phone (not even necessarily knowing that they do so at AIPAC’s behest) to tell
their congressman: “I want a better deal.”
As though the declining,
discredited U.S. has the clout to snap its fingers and make Russia, China,
Britain, France, Germany and Iran sit down at the table once again to redo what
has been painstakingly done—just to satisfy the U.S.’s fundamentalist
Christian-driven Israel groupies in Congress!
The business-as-usual political
process will of course prevail—at least until the needed revolution comes,
which let us hope is soon.
Congressional staffers, who make
a living from matching amoral opportunists with donors eager to buy souls for
sale, will advise their bosses to vote no. Meanwhile proponents of the
agreement, like the National Iranian American Council (NIAC), lack casino mogul
Sheldon Adelson’s billions. They are not in a position to aggressively promote
reason against madness.
So let us say the crazies win and
the sleazy Congress fails to uphold Obama’s veto. What happens then?
The rest of the world will
be shocked by the stupidity of the U.S. lawmakers. (Everyone will note that
this is same Congress that voted for the illegal war on Iraq, and repeatedly
passes resolutions supporting Israel no matter what the hell it does.) The
other members of the P5+1 (Russia, China, UK, Germany, France) will view the
vote, if not as a betrayal, as a clear indicator that the U.S. is an unreliable
partner.
It will be matter-of-factly
observed that Binyamin Netanyahu—that snarling, lying, racist thug—was able to
undermine Obama on the latter’s home turf, and that the Congress was, in fact,
as Sen. Graham Lindsey promised, “led by” the Israeli prime minister.
Other
countries are not going to abandon the multi-party deal, just because a spent
hyper-power unable to age gracefully, much less able to play in a team, happens
to object. They will jump at the opportunity to invest in and trade with
Iran, the world’s 18th largest economy with a purchasing
power parity of $ 1.2 trillion.
Europe will be awash with Persian
carpets, cheap Caspian caviar, and the most delicious pistachios in the world.
German and Italian auto firms and energy companies will reap a windfall.
Switzerland is already planning
on selling pharmaceuticals and machinery and importing Iranian oil and gas.
China and Japan will resume their former levels of oil purchases. India will
resume massive shipments of the basmati rice Iranians love, and import the best
saffron in the world from Iran.
Russia will build a robust
military relationship and attempt to provide Iran the means to resist any
threatened Israeli attack. Foreign tourists will flock to Yazd, Shiraz and
Isfahan. Iranian students will enroll in European universities.
German industrial giants Siemens
and Daimler are chomping at the bit, eager to reenter Iran. Most Germans,
meanwhile, are upset with the U.S. They resent the mass surveillance to which
they have been subjected, up to the level of Chancellor Angela Merkel herself.
This is a national humiliation. Germans do not generally endorse the U.S.
project of bringing Ukraine into NATO, and the punitive sanctions applied to
Russia following its preemptive re-absorption of Crimea.
Hasn’t Gerhard Schroeder, German
chancellor from 1998 to 2005, expressed his understanding of Russian “fears of
an encirclement” and likened Russia’s action in Crimea to the U.S. intervention
in Kosovo? (That latter intervention—another one lacking UN authorization and
based on lies—has produced nothing but a failed state based on
drug-trafficking, hosting a massive U.S. army base, exporting economic refugees
and in its spare time burning down historic Serbian churches.)
The sanctions on Russia demanded
by the U.S. have had ruinous effects on German machine manufacturers and
farmers. Tens of thousands of German jobs have been lost. John Kerry has openly
recognized that Europeans’ patience on this matter is wearing thin. He warns
that a congressional rejection of the Iran deal will jeopardize NATO unity on
Ukraine. And he frankly warns that a rejection might spell the end of the U.S.
dollar as the world’s reserve currency.
Many Germans see the U.S. as a
bully. Polls show about half the population perceiving the U.S. unfavorably.
Some who refused to endorse the war based on lies in Iraq, will (however
inaccurately) see the Congress’s sabotage of the Iran deal as the work of
wealthy Jews. That perception will not be in anybody’s interest.
If the U.S. Bombs
Global disgust with the United
States, mounting since the Iraq War, will peak if the U.S. under the next
president bombs Iran. And listening to the Republican presidential candidates,
that is indeed quite thinkable. Donald Trump is at least correct in one thing:
the candidates are “stupid.” (Not that he isn’t too. And maybe, since he
boasted about being “the most militaristic” of all the candidates, “the Donald”
is the most dangerous among the stupid.)
Once bombed, Iranians of all
factions will unite in outrage. Widespread friendly feelings towards the U.S.
among Iranians will evaporate. Public opinion everywhere in the world will
favor Iran as an obvious victim of the superpower that already has the blood of
hundreds of thousands of Iraqi civilians on its hands.
Russia or China will introduce a
UN resolution to condemn the obvious violation of international law, the ultimate
crime against peace. Britain and France might abstain and the U.S. will have to
use its veto. The ultimate embarrassment and declaration of moral bankruptcy.
For decades the U.S. has stood
alone with Israel when the rest of the world condemned Israeli aggression and
the occupation of Palestinian land. In this case the world will stand against
the U.S. and condemn its wanton lawlessness. Only Israel will celebrate. (Or
rather, some Israelis, since they are of course divided on the issue.)
When people point out that only
the U.S. and Israel supported the attack, the Israel Lobby, flushed with
victory, will lash out at its critics as anti-Semites, insisting that this
wasn’t just about Israel, but that Iran posed as great a threat to the U.S. as
it did to the Jewish state. The Lobby’s illogic and cynical deployment of the
anti-Semitism charge will reach new heights.
But Iranians, using the weapons
of the weak, will undoubtedly find ways to strike back at their attacker. Those
supporting the attack, far from seeing such strikes as a response to superpower
terror, will use them to validate, after the fact, the bombing of nuclear
strikes that provoked them.
These war-mongers cannot think
straight about issues of historical causality. All they’re good at is mobilizing
hate and fear.
Following any U.S. attack on
Iran, Europeans will question the value of an alliance with this juggernaut
that keeps destabilizing the Middle East—for no apparent good reason while
Israel alone cheers.
Some will point out that, when Israel
unilaterally and illegally bombed Iraq’s Oriraq nuclear reactor in “Operation
Opera” in 1981-(when the U.S. was allied with Iraq against Iran) President
Ronald Reagan instructed his UN ambassador to vote with the rest of the world
to condemn the action. Israel then claimed that this was a “pre-emptive” move
and justified it as such.
Now the U.S. using the same
justification will have attacked Iran’s facilities—on behalf of Israel! The
irony of that victory—of the tail wagging the dog—will be obvious to the world.
In Europe it might become more
acceptable to politely ask in public: “Why, since the Soviet Union and Warsaw
Pact have dissolved, and the U.S. is far more aggressive than Putin’s Russia
(that has in fact responded with careful restraint to NATO’s drive to encircle
it) should the anti-Russia alliance continue? What’s in this marriage for us?”
In Japan it might become more
common to question the post-war status quo. “Why, when we need Iranian oil, and
were once Iran’s leading customer, are these crazy people who occupy much of
Okinawa against its people’s will—claiming they’re ‘defending’ Japan against
somebody—bombing Iran? A country that hasn’t invaded another in 300 years? Why
should we continue to accept this vassal status, always forced to side with the
U.S. no matter what it does? Why do we need the ‘Security Treaty’ we signed
under gunpoint fifty years ago?”
These are just a few among the
possible—positive!— repercussions of an illegal, universally condemned strike
on Iran. A short list of the negatives include at their head: World War III.
The stakes are high. The deal is
not yet done. The world stands united against the Lobby, neocons and assorted
Christian lunatics hankering for the apocalypse, now. But big money and big
delusions feed the anti-deal crusade and it may indeed win.
If the deal goes through, with
U.S. approval, the world will breathe a sigh of relief that the Israel Lobby’s
stranglehold on U.S. politics has been broken, and the spell of Zionist
mythology on U.S. decision-makers finally overthrown. But even if
Netanyahu’s allies sabotage the U.S. part of the deal, the rest of the world will
accept it, and the decrepit empire suffer self-wrought historical defeat.
Either way, let us look at the
bright side. The contradiction between Zionist arrogance and entitlement and
the interests of world peace is on open display. Whatever happens, the linkage
between U.S. imperialism and Israeli impunity will be weaker as a result of the
multi-party Iran deal.
