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domingo, 26 de diciembre de 2021

Imperialismo, migración y clase obrera internacional

Raúl Romero*

https://www.jornada.com.mx/2021/12/26/opinion/013a2pol

Los migrantes no somos criminales, somos trabajadores internacionales, cantaban los más de 200 migrantes que llegaron pasadas las 19 horas del 14 de diciembre a las instalaciones del Instituto Nacional de Migración (INM) en Polanco. El contingente llegó hasta ahí para sumarse a la manifestación, convocada por colectivos de la Ciudad de México, en memoria de las 56 personas migrantes fallecidas como consecuencia de la volcadura de un tráiler en Chiapas. Acompañados por al menos otras 200 personas solidarias residentes en México y de una batucada, el grupo decidió trasladarse, causando asombro entre los vecinos y trabajadores de Polanco, hacía las oficinas del mismo INM en las calles de Ejército Nacional. Ahí se encendieron veladoras, se pusieron ofrendas florales, se hizo un pase de lista y se guardó un minuto de silencio por los fallecidos. En su traslado otra significativa consigna era constantemente entonada: Manchadas de rojo están las fronteras, porque ahí se mata a la clase obrera.

México conoce bien a esa clase obrera internacional. Durante décadas, millones de mujeres y hombres mexicanos han cruzado la frontera hacia Estados Unidos (EU) en busca de mejores empleos e ingresos. Más recientemente, miles de personas de este país también han decidido ir a EU, con o sin documentos, ante el incremento de la violencia. Se calcula que 36 millones de migrantes mexicanos radican hoy en el país vecino, es decir 10 por ciento de la población total de aquella nación. Como se reportó en estas mismas páginas (https://bit.ly/3mopqIJ), las remesas de los migrantes mexicanos se han convertido en 2021 en la principal entrada de divisas del país, por encima incluso del turismo, los petrolíferos, las exportaciones agroalimentarias y la inversión extranjera.

El fenómeno migratorio no es particular de América. Se trata de uno mundial que se viene agravando en las décadas recientes. El proceso de globalización neoliberal que implicó la reorganización de la vida y del trabajo a escala internacional hizo que las migraciones masivas se volvieran necesarias para el proceso de producción. La clase obrera internacional que sale de naciones y regiones subdesarrolladas por el saqueo y el despojo, se convierte en mano de obra barata para los centros imperiales; trabajadores sin derechos ni prestaciones, amenazados con ser denunciados y expulsados ante cualquier queja o protesta. Es por eso que las poblaciones de países de África, Medio Oriente, Europa del Este y de Centro y Sur de América buscan llegar a naciones como Alemania, Estados Unidos, Rusia, Arabia Saudita, Francia, Reino Unido, por mencionar algunas. Estos fenómenos de desplazamientos masivos del ejército de reserva de las periferias hacia los centros y del sur hacia el norte, ocurre también del campo a la ciudad, pues las megalópolis y zonas de desarrollo parecieran ser el modelo de reorganización territorial que impulsa el capital.

Al mismo tiempo, algunos países expulsores de migrantes de Centro y Sudamérica y también de África, tienen como común denominador la devastación socioambiental, como resultado del papel que se les impuso en el sistema de producción: la extracción de recursos y el suministro de materias primas. Igualmente, se caracterizan por tener un gran desarrollo de las economías criminales, no sólo del mercado de las drogas, sino también de la extracción ilegal de minerales, de tráfico ilegal de armas, de trata de personas, etcétera.

Estamos aquí porque ustedes estuvieron allá, rezaba una pancarta en una movilización de migrantes en 2003, en España. La consigna resume bien el carácter histórico y la relación entre colonialismo, imperialismo y los fenómenos recientes de migración masiva.

Desde los sans papiers en Francia, hasta las caravanas en Centroamérica, la clase obrera internacional va encontrando obstáculos que tropiezan su tránsito. Al racismo institucionalizado y al nacionalismo exacerbado que deriva en xenofobia, la clase obrera internacional tiene que enfrentar en todo el mundo la militarización de las fronteras y la represión, así como las múltiples violencias del millonario negocio de la trata de personas.

Hoy que el gobierno de México acepta reproducir la política migratoria impuesta por los sectores más conservadores de EU, llegando al grado incluso de comenzar a exigir visa a personas provenientes de Ecuador, Brasil y Venezuela, vale la pena recordar nuestro pasado y presente como pueblos migrantes. Hoy que México hace de la “Guardia Nacional una especie de Border Patrol subrogada, internalizando la política migratoria de Estados Unidos” como escribió Luis Hernández Navarro (https://bit.ly/33INTBX), es necesario que nuestros pueblos y organizaciones desplieguen toda su solidaridad con la clase obrera internacional y en contra del imperialismo.

Sociólogo

Twitter: @RarulRomero_mx

viernes, 24 de diciembre de 2021

Putin lambasts West, endorses strong ties with China at a year-end press conference

China-Russia partnership has no precedent in history: Russian leader

By Global Times Published: Dec 23, 2021

https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202112/1243265.shtml

In his year-end press conference, Russian President Vladimir Putin lambasted the West's brazen lies and stressed the country was forced to make tough decisions as it has no space for concessions amid soaring tensions with the West over Ukraine, which have sparked fears of an all-out war. 

Asked by a SkyNews correspondent what guarantee Russia can provide that it would not attack Ukraine or any other sovereign state, the Russian leader said that it was not Russia that created threats to other countries, TASS reported.

"Have we approached the borders of the US or Britain? They have approached ours. And now they say 'Ukraine will be a NATO member,' " he explained.

"You are demanding some guarantees from me. But it is you that must provide guarantees. You must do that at once, now, and not keep talking about this for decades," Putin said.

Many Chinese people admire Putin's courage to defend the national interests of Russia, since US military forces have also approached regions like the South China Sea and Taiwan Straits to threaten China's sovereignty and security, and many web users hope China could be as tough as Russia against the US. 

However, Russian-style diplomacy and military action against Western pressure are unique and China has its own way of handling the challenge, said Chinese experts, adding that the tensions in Europe around Russia's border regions are much more serious, because they're too close to Russia's capital, and Russia has no room to compromise and no choice but to be tough and straight. 

"Putin and his country were being very sincere and friendly to the West in the 1990s and Russians have tried everything to improve ties with the West. But eventually, they found that the US and the Western world don't want to have good ties with them. All the West wants to do is to keep weakening Russia, profit from the collapse of the Soviet Union, until Russians lose hope to be a major power forever," said a Beijing-based expert on international relations who asked not to be named. 

He said, "Putin and Russia's unhappy experiences with the West just told many of us a lesson - that the problems we have with the West are never about ideology, culture or human rights…They're always about power. If you are a 'nobody' with no influence and unable to say no to them, the West wouldn't care about what you do in your countries. But if you are able to balance their hegemony and fend off their invasions and bullying, then you will become evil in their propaganda."

Russia said earlier it wanted a legally binding guarantee that NATO would give up any military activity in Eastern Europe and Ukraine, part of a wish list of security guarantees it wants to negotiate with the West, Reuters reported. 

It is the first time that Moscow laid out in detail demands that it says are essential for lowering tensions in Europe and defusing a crisis over Ukraine.

Yang Jin, an associate research fellow at the Institute of Russian, Eastern European and Central Asian Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told the Global Times that facing questions from hundreds of journalists, Putin has always shown a sharp and tough stance against the West as he is dedicated to safeguarding Russia's sovereignty and national interests by drawing clear redlines. 

This is similar to China when it comes to questions on China's core interests such as the Taiwan question, Yang noted.  

Despite the fierce response to the US and NATO, Putin also showed his soft persona and a firm commitment to solving domestic issues. He also mentioned China many times, stressing Russia and China trust each other and their cooperation is a stabilizing factor in the international arena.

"It's an absolutely comprehensive partnership of a strategic nature that hasn't had precedents in history, at least between Russia and China," he said during his annual news conference. "This hard day-to-day work benefits Chinese and Russian people and is a serious stabilizing factor on the international stage."

Putin also stressed he has always been against the politicization of sports, noting that the US "boycott" aims to curb China's development. "This decision is unacceptable and erroneous. I spoke with a former US president, and he told me that the boycotts of the Olympics in Los Angeles and Moscow were a big mistake, made by the US as well. But the US continues to make the very same mistake. What caused that? It is an attempt to curb China's growth," the president stated.

Chinese experts noted Putin spoke highly of the country's cooperation with China in his press conference and showed the West how unshakable China and Russia relations are. 

Putin said, "They (the US) cannot hold back the development of China. The Chinese economy is already larger than the US economy in terms of purchasing power parity. China will inevitably become the world's top economy in all respects. But you have to understand this."

miércoles, 22 de diciembre de 2021

 Thirty years after Soviet Union’s disintegration, US approaches deadlock: Russian scholar

By Global Times Published: Dec 21, 2021 

https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202112/1243017.shtml

Editor's Note:

Thirty years ago, on December 26, 1991, the Soviet Union disintegrated. How is this event viewed today among the people of Russia? Is the US walking down the same path as the former Soviet Union? Russian scholar Mikhail Chelnokov (Chelnokov) discusses these issues in an interview with Global Times (GT) reporter Xia Wenxin. Chelnokov served as the People's Deputy of Russia from 1990 to 1993. He is also a member of the Union of Russian Writers and a corresponding member of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences.

GT: In your opinion, what is the collective feeling in today's Russian society about the disintegration of the Soviet Union? 

Chelnokov: This year marks the 30th anniversary of the disintegration of the Soviet Union. This collapse is inseparable from the collapse of the socialist system in the Soviet Union. In my view, both events are perceived differently in Russian society depending on the ages of the people. The younger generation knows very little about these events, and they are indifferent to them.

The older generation has already accepted the disintegration of the Soviet Union as a historical fact. They feel disappointed about it but it is not appropriate to say if they have a positive or negative opinion of the event.

I would say that people of the older generation pay more attention to the changes in the socio-political and economic system in Russia. And in this regard, there are both positive and negative aspects.

On the positive side, there is no shortage of food and goods in the country today. The endless queues in front of the stores have disappeared, the so-called Iron Curtain has fallen and people are free to travel around the world.

On the negative side, Russia accepted not only the reasonable features of capitalism but also all the negative repercussions connected with this system. 

First, the total power of the financial tycoons goes beyond literally every aspect of life. And this fantastic exaggeration of the value of money has led to a hypertrophied distortion of all human life. The financial sphere of the economy is not a real sector of the economy. There is absolutely nothing substantial produced in the financial system.

All the various facets of the financial system, including the stock market, pyramid schemes, and various speculative operations, are all meaningless and empty children's games. But this game is very expensive for mankind. It has led and will repeatedly lead to severe crises which, by the way, have already happened several times in the modern history of Russia.

Second, of course, today people evaluate the collapse of socialism and the Soviet Union by the consequences of these events and, above all, by today's living standard in Russia. This assessment is very pessimistic and gloomy. According to various estimates, Russia today is close to the 70th place in the world ranking of living standards. At the end of 2020, 17.8 million people in Russia, about 12 percent of the population, were living below the poverty line. The problem of social stratification is very serious and all of this happens in one of the richest countries in the world in terms of natural resources. 

Third, today in Russia we honor our victory in the Great Patriotic War of 1941-1945 by holding commemorative events, such as the march of the "Immortal Regiment." But this, unfortunately, is the only bright spot and the only exception against the backdrop of spiritual impoverishment that reigns in the country today.

[Note: the term "Great Patriotic War" refers to the confrontation between the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany in the Eastern Front of World War II.]

Ideas and concepts, including conscience, honor, patriotism, desire for creativity, and scientific work, have practically disappeared from the media's field of vision. And perhaps most frightening of all is how young people grow up in such an environment and what kind of goals they set for themselves.

GT: In general, relations between Russia and the West have not improved since the disintegration of the Soviet Union. The US and the West continue to view Russia as a "threat" and an adversary. What do you think of the continued hostile attitude of the US and the West toward Russia?

Chelnokov: I believe that the hostile attitude of the US and the West in general toward Russia exists due to several reasons. On one hand, this is the way things have developed historically. On the other hand, Russia is the richest country in the world in terms of natural resources. And thus, some countries feel envious and believe that these resources should belong to the whole world, not just to one country.

Moreover, it is very convenient to divert people's attention from the internal problems of the US and Western countries and shift the blame onto an "external enemy." So, focusing on an "external enemy" is the usual policy of leaders who are not very strong and smart. There has not been any strong leader in the Western world in recent decades like former US president Franklin Roosevelt or former French leader Charles de Gaulle. Also, having an "external enemy" is profitable for the military organizations and the military-industrial complex because they will be well-financed. In fact, they live off it.

GT: Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the US is following the path of the Soviet Union, TASS reported in June. What's your take? Is the fate of the Soviet Union a lesson for the US?

Chelnokov: It is true that the US today has come closer to a deadlock but this is an entirely different situation from the one that the Soviet Union faced at the end of the last century.

The US believes it has the right to rule the world, impose its will on other countries, and be the hegemon. Yes, the Soviet Union lost the Cold War to the US but the world has changed and the world does not want to be a colony of the US. Incidentally, the 9/11 attacks in 2001 showed that the US is not as invincible and strong as it would like to be. The US cannot offer its ideals as a model to the world today as it does not follow these ideals itself. 

However, today the enmity between black and white people in the US is becoming increasingly acute and there is no end in sight to this problem. It destabilizes the whole situation, leads to numerous conflicts, and brings the country to a dead end.

The US considers itself a model of democracy. But democracy, in other words, the power of the people, is exercised through elections. And the result of these elections in the US is really determined not only by the will of the people but probably to a much greater extent, by the electoral system itself.

So, in this sense, US elections are a terrible travesty of democracy. The president of the US is chosen not by the people of the country, but by an electoral college. The whole world has been laughing at this system for quite a long time and many Americans have been demanding changes, but the US government does not want to. Why not? The answer is very simple. In this system, it is very convenient to manipulate the results of the election to the advantage of the incumbent government.

But in addition to the votes and the electoral system, there is a third factor that determines the outcome of the elections. This factor is probably the most important and decisive one. It is the financial support of the election campaign.

The financial cost of the presidential campaign in the US is so high that not even the wealthiest people of the country can cover it personally. It is known, for example, that US President Joe Biden spent about $1 billion on campaigning alone. And such huge funds come from the contributions of various sponsors. But sponsors do not invest their money altruistically. They make these investments only when they are very sure that they will be repaid in the near future.

Under such a policy, political figures think about the interests of their sponsors in the first place instead of the interests of the country and people. What democracy, what power of the people, are we talking about here?

GT: Many people compare the current competition between China and the US to the rivalry between the US and the Soviet Union during the Cold War era. What do you think of the rivalry between China and the US? How will it end? 

Chelnokov: I think that such a comparison is quite appropriate. The rivalry between the US and China today increasingly impacts the whole world. China, in my opinion, is on the rise. It is on the path toward progress and the US, on the contrary, is in a stage of regression but it has not realized it. As far as I understand, the tension in relations between the two countries comes from the US, a country that continues to strive for hegemony in the world.

China is gaining more and more power, politically, economically, and militarily. Hopefully, China can encourage the US to remain rational. However, I think now it is still impossible to predict how this rivalry will end.

martes, 21 de diciembre de 2021

Putin draws lines over NATO, Ukraine: Let the negotiations begin

As the crisis intensifies, Moscow’s ambitious security proposal may provide an opening to resolve the stand-off.

DECEMBER 20, 2021

https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2021/12/20/determined-diplomacy-can-prevent-war-in-eastern-europe/?

Written by
Rajan Menon and Benjamin H. Friedman

The virtual meeting between President Biden and Russian leader Vladimir Putin on December 7 didn’t resolve the crisis that began when Russian forces massed around Ukraine’s border, where they currently remain. But Biden’s readiness to engage in further talks with Russia in order to reach an unspecified “accommodation” provides an opportunity for diplomacy to avert a looming disaster.

Russia’s military build-up on Ukraine’s border has two objectives — one is to force a settlement, on its terms, between Kyiv and the Russian-backed separatists in Ukraine’s east, in line with the February 12, 2015, Minsk II Agreement. Moscow’s second but more immediate goal is to pressure NATO to meet a list of demands: a legal guarantee that it will not admit Ukraine to its ranks, essentially a renunciation of the April 3, 2008, Bucharest Summit declaration that all but promised membership; a commitment not to emplace NATO’s troops or strike weapons on Ukrainian territory; a pledge that American weapons capable of striking Russia will not be stationed in states neighboring it; and an agreement to revive the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF Treaty), which President Trump formally exited in August 2019. On Friday, the Russian foreign ministry presented many of these proposals in the form of a draft treaty.

Some experts suggest that Russia’s demands are so extravagant that they are designed to fail and make an invasion of Ukraine seem legitimate. But there remain reasons to believe that Russia still hopes to avoid war, is making an opening bid in a negotiation, and would settle for less than it now demands because it understands that attacking Ukraine could prove costly.

Indeed, Russian ground forces moving westward following the initial air and missile attacks could encounter dogged resistance, especially once they enter areas containing a substantial ethnic Ukrainian majority. While the military balance between states can be useful for predicting the winner, history shows that those confident of quick victory may face unforeseen complications.

The United States would impose more economic sanctions on Russia, including severing it from the SWIFT messaging system used for global banking transactions. At their virtual meeting, Putin dismissed Biden’s threat of further sanctions; Russia, he countered, had become used to them. Washington has been on a sanctions binge for the past two decades — nearly 8,000 were in place by 2019 — and Russia and other targeted countries have devised various workarounds to ease the pain. Moreover, cutting Russia off from SWIFT would hurt the EU’s trade with Russia, which totaled $219 billion in 2020, as well as its banks, which have $56 billion due back from Russian borrowers. Still, additional penalties could hurt the Russian economy, which has just begun a (still uncertain) recovery following a three percent contraction last year caused largely by the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Were sanctions so easy to cope with, countries on the receiving end wouldn’t complain continually about them.

The Nordstream II gas pipeline to Europe — already opposed by the Green Party, a member of Germany’s new coalition government — could be doomed, and Russia, whose economy relies heavily on oil and gas exports, would forgo billions of dollars in annual revenue. Europe is divided on Nordstream — some countries tout its benefits, while others warn that it exposes the continent to Russian blackmail — but Russia’s leaders see it as very beneficial to their country’s economy.

France and Germany, the two biggest proponents in Europe of engagement with Russia, would lose influence relative to Poland and other dogged opponents of rapprochement. More generally, Russia will effectively, and indefinitely, burn its bridges with the West. True, Moscow has the strategic partnership with China to fall back on, but it would have more strategic flexibility if it could combine that with a working relationship with the West, as it did in years past.

None of this means that Putin’s warning that NATO will cross Russia’s “red lines” if the alliance admits Ukraine amounts to posturing or that his national security concerns lack foundation and can be dismissed as propaganda.

A view widely held in the United States, including by the Biden administration, is that Ukraine, an independent country, must be free to make its foreign policy choices independent of other countries’ preferences. As the September 1 “Joint Statement on U.S.-Ukraine Strategic Partnership,” put it, “Sovereign states have the right to make their own decisions and choose their own alliances.” This is true in principle, but it does not obviate the reality created by the amalgam of power and geography, namely, that if NATO grants Ukraine’s aspiration to join its ranks it will commit itself to defend a weak country that has a 1,426-mile border with Russia and that the hazards of making good on that pledge will be borne overwhelmingly by the United States, not its NATO allies.

Another prevalent assessment, voiced recently by influential Russian experts, is that Russia’s claims to be threatened by the prospect of Ukraine’s entry into NATO amount to a ruse — that what Putin really fears is a democratic Ukraine. Though Putin presides over an authoritarian polity, the historical record demonstrates that Russia has complained consistently about the proposals for, and the implementation of, NATO’s expansion toward its borders, including during the 1990s, when Russia, led by Boris Yeltsin, was hailed in the United States as a democracy and a partner. As Thomas Pickering, the American ambassador to Russia, wrote to Washington in a now-declassified cable in December 1994, hostility to NATO expansion “is almost universally felt across the domestic political spectrum here.” Hence Moscow’s preoccupation with NATO isn’t a Putin phenomenon.

NATO not only opened the door to Ukraine’s (and Georgia’s) membership in its Bucharest summit declaration — “We agree today that these countries will become members of NATO” — it has never closed it thereafter. Moreover, the U.S. secretaries of state and defense reaffirmed recently that Ukraine may yet join the alliance. Meanwhile, since 2015, American troops have been training Ukraine’s armed forces and the United States has been holding regular military exercises with Ukraine. Washington has also provided Kyiv with $2.5 billion of weaponry and military equipment, $400 million in this year alone, and the National Defense Authorization Act for the 2022 fiscal year approved by Congress earmarks $300 million for the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative.

No American government would, no matter the circumstances, regard parallel developments in its own hemisphere benignly. The United States, a superpower, sees sources of insecurity in every corner of the planet and has a 200-year-old doctrine that denies the right of countries in its neighborhood to join an adversary’s military alliance or play host to its weapons (recall the Cuban Missile Crisis). How can Washington reasonably expect Russia to react differently?  

Americans might reason that Russia, a nuclear power with a powerful military, surely knows that Ukraine’s admittance to the alliance is unlikely because a 30-member bloc will fail to reach an agreement on such a controversial and consequential step. But that amounts to arguing that Russian apprehension is valid only to the extent that it comports with Americans’ reasoning. Having witnessed NATO grow from 16 members in the late 1990s to 30 today, it is scarcely unreasonable for Russia’s leaders to anticipate additional expansion, including membership for Ukraine.

This current crisis remains dangerous, and the consequences of its boiling over into war would be disastrous, above all for Ukraine. But there are ways to prevent that outcome. The Biden administration’s willingness to hold follow-on negotiations with Moscow is, therefore, a wise move.

While Biden cannot possibly meet Putin’s demand for a legal guarantee that Ukraine will be barred from NATO, diplomats can surely negotiate to produce a formulation that provides Russia an assurance to allay its concerns that there will be no short-term change in Ukraine’s status with respect to NATO but does not foreclose Ukraine’s options.

But will Russia be satisfied with that? Ideally, Moscow wants a neutral Ukraine, a la Cold-War Austria. Will it be willing to settle for something short of that? We won’t know — and perhaps even the Russians don’t — until the effort is made to find language that reconciles Ukraine’s insistence on self-determination and Russia’s demand that its security interests be respected. Given the continued danger of war, the effort is certainly worth it.

U.S. negotiations with Russia should not be confined to Ukraine alone. They should include confidence-building measures aimed at reducing the risk posed by continual close encounters between Russian and American warships and aircraft in the Black Sea and Baltic Sea.

The usual chorus of denunciation will depict any U.S. dialogue with Russia to defuse the immediate crisis as a cave-in to Putin’s pressure. Such complainants aren’t actually willing to go to war for Ukraine; they want to pretend they might and assume that Russia will be deterred in consequence, no matter that the geographical and military circumstances overwhelmingly favor it. That amounts to engaging in bravado and leaving Ukraine to deal with the consequences if the bluster fails to concentrate minds in Moscow.

The current crisis involving Ukraine may recede, but we shouldn’t count on being lucky the next time. Let the negotiations begin.

lunes, 20 de diciembre de 2021

Pronostican analistas la peor cuesta de enero en dos décadas

Pegará fuerte a la clase media

Clara Zepeda

 https://www.jornada.com.mx/2021/12/20/economia/017n1eco

Periódico La Jornada
Lunes 20 de diciembre de 2021, p. 17

El efecto de la cuesta de enero de 2022 será muy dispar entre las personas con los menores ingresos y el resto de la población, la cual también se enfrenta a la mayor inflación en 20 años sin que los incrementos del salario sean equiparables para hacer frente al encarecimiento generalizado de precios.

De acuerdo con Ramsé Gutiérrez, codirector de Inversiones Franklin Templeton México, la presión por aumentar el salario mínimo en 22 por ciento para 2022 no sólo es el mayor aumento porcentual que se haya tenido en los pasados 30 años, también es el segundo mayor relativo a la inflación o en términos reales.

Para 2022 se estima que este aumento impactará los salarios de 6 millones de trabajadores prácticamente a un tercio de quienes se ocupan en la formalidad. Y, aunque ayuda a las clases económicas menos favorecidas, promoviendo el consumo o aumentando la demanda de bienes y servicios, también podría retrasar la disminución esperada de la inflación anual para el próximo año.

Por otra parte, precisó Gutiérrez, el grueso de la población, entre ellos la clase media, no gozará de aumentos salariales similares, pues las revisiones de sueldos de los trabajadores formales privados tienen un fuerte desligue respecto a los incrementos del minisalario.

Los aumentos han estado por debajo de la inflación en siete de los 11 meses anteriores, lapso de tiempo sólo superado en 2009 y en 2017, ambos años con un importante alza de precios en México.

Incluso en noviembre se registró la tercera peor caída en los salarios generales desde 2000, con una baja de 2.14 por ciento; lo cual refleja que el aumento del salario base no ha impactado los salarios del grueso de la población, aunque ésta sí sufre el encarecimiento de los bienes y servicios.

Resaca de las fiestas

Según la Encuesta Nacional de Bienestar Autorreportado, haberse quedado sin trabajo afecta más que la expectativa de no poder cubrir los gastos del mes. En los pasados 12 meses, 14.8 por ciento de la población adulta perdió su trabajo o negocio sin poder recuperarlo; además dos terceras partes de los casos no cotizaban en la seguridad social del país. La expectativa de no poder sufragar los gastos del mes afecta a 43.4 por ciento de la población adulta, en tanto que 11.3 por ciento manifestó incertidumbre al respecto.

Enero es famoso por ser un mes complicado en términos financieros, pues es la resaca de las fiestas decembrinas que se caracterizan por el impulso de gastar más de lo que se gana, derivado de la emoción y la sensación de tener más dinero por recibir ingresos extra como el aguinaldo.

A ese factor, iniciado 2022 habrá que agregar que 2021 será el período con la máxima inflación de las pasadas dos décadas, con lo que se deteriora la capacidad de compra de bienes y servicios.

En algún momento del transcurso de los 12 meses anteriores más de un tercio de la población tuvo que pedir prestado para sufragar el gasto corriente de su hogar en la despensa, renta o alquiler, agua, luz gas o teléfono, colegiaturas o medicamentos, destaca la encuesta.

domingo, 19 de diciembre de 2021

A Critique of Obscene Wealth

BY RICHARD D. WOLFF

DECEMBER 17, 2021

https://www.counterpunch.org/2021/12/17/a-critique-of-obscene-wealth/

Wherever and whenever obscenely rich people existed, they always protected their wealth and the privileges that come with it from the majority of non-wealthy people working for them and around them. Emperors, kings, czars as well as masters of huge slave plantations, lords of big feudal manors, and major shareholders and top executives of capitalist megacorporations did so partly by the use of brute force, or through the exercise of power, and bribery. All of them also used ideological persuasion, but none more so than capitalists today. And while “the weapon of criticism can never replace the criticism of weapons,” according to Karl Marx, a critique of capitalism’s obscene wealth today and its ideological justifications is arguably much needed.

One attempted justification argues that obscene wealth is society’s reward for those people making crucial contributions to social welfare and progress. Billionaire Elon Musk, for example, contributed the electric car, some would argue; billionaire Jeff Bezos offered the speedy ordering and delivery of goods. But Musk’s electric car was a late step in a long evolution of electricity, batteries, and automobiles. Constituting that evolution were many contributions by many people along the way. Musk’s contribution was impossible without—and thus dependent on—all those prior contributions. Rewarding contributions and contributors justly would entail rewarding them all, not exclusively Musk. Doing the latter is manifestly unjust and unjustifiable.

The relevant parallel here is a village battling to escape flooding from a nearby river’s impending overflow. A subset of villagers gathers to dig sand, acquire sandbags, fill them with sand, and then pass them forward, from person to person, so that the last person standing closest to the river, named Elon, can pile bags on the river’s bank. A grateful village collects $10,000 to reward those responsible for the happy outcome: no flood. The check for $10,000 is handed to Elon. Rewarding in this way—rather than sharing the reward among all those who collaborated to produce the outcome—is more of an incentive to position a single person in a particular place rather than to work alongside all the fellow villagers who contributed to the outcome.

Indeed, rewarding in that way will likely strike others as a disincentive to contribute from other positions. If they do not fill those other positions (thereby losing a chance for reward), Elon would lose his reward too. If contributors to the anti-flood effort compete for Elon’s position, disrupting or delaying the effort, such competition itself risks enabling the flood and thereby depriving everyone of any reward. The village would do better to distribute the collected $10,000 to reward all villagers who collaborated in preventing the flood.

Besides being unjust and risky, obscene wealth as an incentive is completely unnecessary.

In many fields of endeavor across human activity, inventors and innovators regularly appreciate and welcome rewards that are not obscene wealth, yet are more than sufficient. Musicians, artists, farmers, factory workers, teachers, and many others have contributed innovative solutions to society’s problems large and small. These people were often driven by social accolades, applause and approval, and rewards and prizes of modest size. For example, John Maynard Keynes, an economist, developed (1) a critique of private capitalism’s instability and (2) monetary and fiscal policies to counter that instability that has been widely deployed since the 1930s. His work’s contribution to society was immense, yet his financial rewards were very modest in comparison to the billions gathered by entrepreneurs like Musk and Bezos. The Nobel Prize (which awards around $1 million to each of its winners) is as great a reward as most economists can imagine. Likewise, Ludwig van Beethoven and Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart, Louis Pasteur and Albert Einstein, and countless other major contributors to modern life were not especially driven by any prospect of obscene wealth, nor did they obtain it during their lifetimes.

Not only are huge rewards unnecessary for invention, innovation, and progress, but inventions have also mostly been tangential to the accumulation of obscene wealth. It is capitalism that enables such wealth now (as did feudalism and slavery in the past). Often the inventor is ignored, swindled, or otherwise left far behind by a different person who is driven by and seeks to gather obscene wealth. That person mobilizes a capitalist enterprise to monopolize the production or use of what was newly invented for other reasons. Good connections, family wealth, political influence, bribery, corruption, and countless other factors combine to enable persons other than inventors to “capitalize” on someone else’s invention. In capitalism, monopolizing on an invention offers far better chances to amass obscene wealth than inventing something ever did or does.

Amalgamating diverse small shops into one big store with “departments” (plus mail-order catalogs) to include an ever-wider number of commodities enabled economies of scale. This model in turn enabled American chains of department stores like Sears to profitably lower prices and accumulate obscene wealth. The Walton family took economies of scale further by importing China’s low-wage outputs to run an even bigger chain of department stores (Walmart). Bezos took that model yet another step further via Amazon becoming a “department store” for nearly everything and delivering products to customers almost anywhere quickly via the internet. Billions were thus amassed via a sequence of small steps. None of these ideas or concepts were great new inventions. All were market monopolies operated long enough to amass billions before the next step transferred that opportunity to others.

Amassing obscene wealth also clashes with democracy. There is a reason why calls for equality so often accompany calls for democracy. Members of communities that tolerate vast inequalities of wealth and income quickly discover that the rich use their wealth to block, manipulate, or destroy any democracy that arises. For example, they have always understood that universal or even widespread suffrage risks a non-wealthy majority voting to undo society’s wealth inequality. So the rich block democracy, prevent varying forms of democracy from acquiring any real content, or, when pressed, subvert even those forms. Fresh from huge increases in U.S. wealth inequality, the rich nonetheless abet the Republican Party’s anti-democratic electoral claims and maneuvers, tolerate the party’s restrictions on mass voting, and fight particularly hard even against the modestly progressive tax dimensions of President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better proposals.

Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, and other U.S. billionaires decide alone and unaccountably how to spend hundreds of billions. The decisions of a few hundred bring economic development to some regions, industries, and enterprises and lead to the economic decline of other regions. The many millions of people affected by those spending decisions are excluded from participating in making them. Those millions of people lack the economic and social power wielded by unaccountable, obscenely wealthy tiny minorities. That is the opposite of democracy.

The obscenely rich have also used the power they yield from their wealth to successfully undo taxes threatening their obscene wealth or its dynastic transmission through inheritance. One of many possible examples is the federal estate tax in the United States. From 1942 to 1976, estates over $60,000 were subject to an estate tax rate of 77 percent. Nowadays, estates of up to $23.4 million for married couples are exempt from estate tax while estates above that are taxed at a 40 percent rate. The obscenely rich have thus driven the U.S. economy and society further from anything remotely resembling a “level playing field.” Today, children of the obscenely rich have myriad advantages compared to all other children. These advantages were secured by how their rich parents changed the nation’s estate tax system. Their children will likely use their inherited wealth to perpetuate the system.

The obscenely rich via real estate holdings—such as Donald Trump—exhibit another remarkable anti-democratic quality. Their wealth is derived from demography: where growing populations choose to live and work. If those populations choose to live and work somewhere else, then the real estate owners in that location can become obscenely rich. They did nothing to the land they own to become wealthy. Other people’s location decisions did that in the context of U.S. capitalism’s institutionalization of private property and markets. The resulting obscene wealth inequality is unwanted by big majorities, according to recent U.S. polls. That contradiction—between what capitalism delivers and what most people want—pervades U.S. capitalism more these days than ever.

Finally, obscene wealth flaunts its disregard for the law. From Panama to the Pandora Papers, among other sources, we know that the obscenely wealthy are also active in tax havens hiding their wealth from tax authorities, law courts, public opinion, and spouses. Their wealth not only buys the laws and regulations enabling legal tax evasion; it also buys global tolerance of tax havens (increasingly located inside the United States in states such as South Dakota, Nevada, and Delaware). Thus, nearly everywhere in the capitalist world, the non-wealthy pay more in taxes and suffer public service deficits caused by the tax evasions of the obscenely wealthy.

Unjust, unnecessary, and undemocratic, extreme wealth must and does strive to secure global capitalism’s support and sustenance. The considerable success of these means to secure wealth has now led to the increasing criticism of capitalism. The existing system produces an economic inequality so extreme that it reacts back to jeopardize both obscene wealth and the system itself. At that, Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel and Marx would smile.

This article was produced by Economy for All, a project of the Independent Media Institute.

 

Richard Wolff is the author of Capitalism Hits the Fan and Capitalism’s Crisis Deepens. He is the founder of Democracy at Work.

sábado, 18 de diciembre de 2021

 Salida de mexicanos entre 2000 y 2020 cayó a menos de la mitad

Bajó de un millón 633 mil a 802 mil 807: Inegi

Clara Zepeda

 https://www.jornada.com.mx/2021/12/18/politica/005n1pol

Periódico La Jornada
Sábado 18 de diciembre de 2021, p. 5

En búsqueda principalmente de trabajo en Estados Unidos, Canadá o España, cerca de 802 mil 807 personas salieron de México para residir en el extranjero durante el periodo de marzo de 2015 al mismo mes de 2020, pero fueron menos de la mitad de lo que se registró en 2000, según cifras del Inegi.

Lo anterior representó una disminución de 309 mil emigrantes con respecto al total estimado en el Censo de Población y Vivienda de 2010, que registró un millón 112 mil 273 emigrantes internacionales entre junio de 2005 y junio de 2010, y menos de la mitad del que se registró en el censo de 2000 (enero de 1995 a febrero de 2000), cuando sumaron un millón 633 mil 52 personas emigrantes internacionales.

Debido a la repercusión que tiene la población migrante en el mundo, la Asamblea General de la Organización de Naciones Unidas (ONU) decretó el 18 de diciembre como el Día Internacional del Migrante, como afirmación del compromiso con una migración segura, ordenada, regular y digna para todos.

Con motivo de esta fecha, el Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía presenta una serie de indicadores que dan cuenta de algunas características relacionadas con esta población.

De acuerdo con las estadísticas a propósito de este día, México registró menos emigrantes desde 2020.

De las 802 mil 807 personas emigrantes internacionales, seis de cada diez (537 mil 149) fueron hombres y 33 por ciento (265 mil 658) mujeres. Si bien la emigración internacional que se origina en México es predominantemente masculina, esta situación presenta algunos cambios dependiendo del tamaño de localidad de residencia previa a la emigración.

De los 238 mil 743 emigrantes internacionales de localidades rurales, 80 por ciento son hombres y 20 por ciento son mujeres, en tanto que en las localidades urbanas de 100 mil habitantes y más, la proporción es de 57 por ciento hombres y 44 por ciento mujeres.

Del total de emigrantes internacionales, tres de cada cuatro personas tiene como destino Estados Unidos, 4 por ciento prefiere ir a Canadá y 2 por ciento a España.

Motivos y edades

El principal motivo para emigrar a otro país es la búsqueda de trabajo o cambio de trabajo en 57 por ciento de los casos, seguido de motivos familiares (18 por ciento) y los que tienen que ver con cuestiones educativas (12 por ciento).

La edad media al momento de partir de los migrantes internacionales es de 26 años. De este total, poco más de la mitad (54 por ciento) salió del país cuando tenía entre 15 y 29 años, 34 por ciento cuando había cumplido entre 30 a 59 años, 7 por ciento tenía menos de 15 años y sólo 4 por ciento tenía 60 o más años al momento de migrar.

Entre las entidades federativas con mayor expulsión de población, según el Inegi, se encuentran Guanajuato y Jalisco, seguidas de Michoacán, estado de México y la Ciudad de México.

Las entidades con menores proporciones de migrantes internacionales son Baja California Sur, Campeche y Tlaxcala.