Tel Aviv fears US will abandon war on Iran before Israeli goals are met: Report
Israeli planners are concerned that a 'quick campaign'
by US forces will leave the Iranian government 'intact'
OCT 30, 2026
Israel’s military leadership fears that a swift US
bombing campaign on Iran after next week’s midterms could leave the Iranian
government “intact” and fail to achieve Israeli war goals, Haaretz reported on 30 October.
Israeli officials are concerned that US President
Donald Trump could then strike a deal with Tehran following the strikes,
leaving Iran more determined than ever to bolster its defenses, as it has in
the last two rounds of attacks.
The warning exposes a widening rift between Tel Aviv
and Washington over what a renewed war on Iran should achieve.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has made the
collapse of the Iranian government and the complete destruction of its nuclear
program his war aims, while Washington seeks nuclear concessions and guaranteed
passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
Officers in Israeli military intelligence and the air
force doubt that several days of US airstrikes could force the Iranian
government’s surrender, let alone its collapse.
With the two previous rounds of joint US-Israeli
attacks failing to destroy Iran’s nuclear sites or cripple its government,
Israeli intelligence assessments warn that new strikes could at most delay it,
as Tehran has reinforced its sensitive facilities and remains able to rebuild
infrastructure and replenish defenses
Commanders warned the cabinet that joining a campaign
without agreed goals could see Washington walk away once its own terms are met,
leaving Tel Aviv trapped in an open-ended war with mounting costs.
Israeli defense officials also concede that the
Iranian government can withstand the toll of war and the maritime blockade for
at least another two years, outlasting the current US administration without
abandoning its core objectives.
Israeli military planners admit that rallying public
support for another war will be difficult after the recent parliamentary
elections, warning that an inconclusive campaign could further erode trust in
an army still struggling to recover from the failures of 7 October.
Israeli defense officials have repeatedly been stunned by how quickly Iran rebuilt its ballistic missile
production after each US-Israeli bombing campaign since 2024, with Tehran’s
arsenal nearly doubling to 2,500 missiles between the June 2025 war and
February 2026.
Having withstood more than 20,000 US and Israeli
strikes, Iran retains an arsenal of hundreds to thousands of missiles and the
ability to seal the Strait of Hormuz and has used the lull in fighting to
rebuild its stocks and fortify its defenses.
Tehran has repeatedly warned that any renewed
aggression would trigger a forceful response against economic and civilian
targets across the region.
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