Iran and Russia’s Friendship Just Got a Lot Deeper
by Ted
Snider
Posted on January 23, 2025
By abstaining from diplomacy and relying so heavily on
isolating countries and the broad stroke of sanctions, the U.S. runs the risk
of creating a community of isolated and sanctioned countries. A community of
sanctioned countries negates the effect of sanctions. And a community of
isolated countries creates the very multipolar world the U.S. is trying to push
back.
In the past couple of years, Iran has fought back
against isolation and sanctions by joining the Russian and Chinese led Shanghai
Cooperation Organization and BRICS, two significant international organizations
intended to balance American hegemony in a multipolar world.
On January 17, though, Iranian President Masoud
Pezeshkian and Russian President Vladimir Putin signed the Treaty on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between their two countries, bringing Iran and
Russia into a closer partnership than ever before.
Article 2 of the treaty commits the two countries to
rejecting unipolarity and pursuing multilateralism, while Article 14
specifically commits them to “deepen[ing] cooperation within the framework of
regional organizations,” including the promise to “interact and coordinate
positions in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.” In a press conference following the talks, Pezeshkian said that BRICS
and the SCO are transforming the region and “represent new opportunities and
potential for both countries to collaborate in the future.”
But the new strategic partnership is much more than a
vague public announcement of Iran and Russia’s friendship. The detailed
forty-seven article document is the product of months of intense diplomacy. The
document brings the comprehensive partnership a historic new intensity. In his
opening remarks at the press conference, Putin called the document “truly
ground-breaking.” Dmitri Trenin, research professor at the Higher School of
Economics, told me that Putin’s use of words like “breakthrough,” refer, above
all, “to the very fact that the Moscow-Tehran relationship now has a treaty as
a base.”
The treaty, which has caused
consternation in the West, addresses U.S. and Western attempts to isolate and
sanction Iran and Russia and to maintain U.S. hegemony in a unipolar world.
The document does not even
wait until the first article to mention multipolarity. The preamble expresses
the wish “to promote an objective process of forming a new just and sustainable
multipolar world.” The pursuit of multipolarity is then the topic of Article 2
of the treaty.
Iran and Russia have both been
the target of U.S. military threat and of historically unprecedented sanctions.
The American imposition of “sanctions from hell” resulted in over 28,000
sanctions on Russia, perhaps the largest and most comprehensive sanctions
regime in history. Article 19 of the treaty opposes “the application of
unilateral coercive measures,” like sanctions. Pezeshkian said that the new cooperation
“can nullify sanctions and excessive demands by the United States and Western
countries.”
Putin remarked that
“[n]otably, our countries have almost completely transitioned to using national
currencies in mutual settlements” and that “In 2024, transactions conducted in
Russian rubles and Iranian rials accounted for over 95 percent of bilateral
trade.” Several articles in the treaty are devoted to developing closer
economic ties and bypassing SWIFT, including Article 20, which calls for
“cooperation with the aim of creating a modern payment infrastructure
independent of third countries.”
Trenin said that one of the
key practical Russian goals is that “economic relations with Iran will expand
through the coming online of the North-South corridor and other projects.” The
North-South Transport Corridor is a massive ship, rail and road network for
facilitating trade between Russia, Iran, India and Azerbaijan. The “development
of international transport corridors passing through the territory of the
Russian Federation and the Islamic Republic of Iran” and “in particular, the
international transport corridor ‘North-South’,” is the topic of Article 21.
The turn toward each other
highlights Iran’s foreign policy orientation and, as Richard Sakwa, Professor
of Russian and European Politics at the University of Kent, told me, “Russia’s
epochal pivot to the South.”
But the agreements in the
Treaty that must be the cause of the greatest concern for the West are the
articles dealing with defense and nuclear energy.
The very first article of the
Treaty calls on Iran and Russia to “strengthen cooperation in the field of
security and defense.”
The Treaty is not a military
alliance: there is no mutual defense clause. But Article 3 commits each country
to “not provid[ing] any military or other assistance to the aggressor” in the
event that the other is attacked. Article 12 says the two countries “shall
cooperate with the aim of preventing interference in the said regions and the
destabilizing presence there of third states.” And Article 5 promises “military
cooperation,” including “training of military personnel” and “conducting joint
military exercises.” Article 4 adds enhanced intelligence cooperation.
There is a connection between
military cooperation, stopping third countries from destabilizing the region
and a safe space for multipolarity. Sakwa says that just as the “Soviet-Indian
Treaty of 1971 provided the security for India to develop its independent and
non-aligned strategy, so, too, now Moscow’s support for Iran warned the US…
that any attack on Iran risked embroiling them in a conflict with nuclear-armed
Russia.” The comprehensive partnership grants Iran the safe space that India
used to establish its nonalignment in a multipolar world.
The other aspect of the
comprehensive partnership that must be sending shudders through the West is the
Article 23 agreement to “promote the development of long-term and mutually
beneficial relations for the purpose of implementing joint projects in the field
of peaceful use of atomic energy, including the construction of nuclear power
facilities.”
The comprehensive strategic
partnership is an important treaty that builds on the last few years’ growing
relationship between Russian and Iran and intensifies their cooperation to a
historic new level. There is, though, one seed of doubt that has been sewn by
the election of President Donald Trump. Russia’s priority right now is Ukraine.
Trump has promised a diplomatic settlement to the war in Ukraine, but, Anatol
Lieven, Director of the Eurasia Program at the Quincy Institute for Responsible
Statecraft, reminds, Trump “detests Iran.” Lieven told me that the Iranians
worry that Russia could “use relations with Iran as a way of influencing Trump
over Ukraine,” that Russia may “be willing to abandon Iran if Russia gets what
it wants over Ukraine.”
Like recent diplomatic
progress between Saudi Arabia and Iran, Iran and China, and China and India,
the “breakthrough” comprehensive strategic partnership between Iran and Russia
represents the growing revolt against the old U.S. led unipolar world and its
ability to use sanctions and isolation as coercive weapons.
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